2016 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary

2016 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary
← IA NV →
32 Democratic National Convention delegates; (24 pledged, 8 unpledged)
	Sanders: 50–60% 60–70% 70–80% 80–90% >90% ; Clinton: 50–60% 60–70% ; No Vote:

The 2016 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary was held on Tuesday February 9. As per tradition, it was the first primary and second nominating contest overall to take place in the cycle. Bernie Sanders defeated Hillary Clinton in the primary by a margin of more than 22% in the popular vote. Sanders claimed 15 delegates to Clinton's 9.^[1]

It occurred on the same day as the Republican primary.

Debates and forums

December 2015 debate in Goffstown

On December 19, 2015, the Democratic Party held their third debate at St. Anselm College in Goffstown, New Hampshire. Hosted by "World News Tonight" anchor David Muir and Chief Global Affairs Correspondent Martha Raddatz, it aired on ABC News.^[2] Before the debate, WMUR-TV's co-sponsorship had been revoked by the DNC due to a labor dispute. Participants were Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, and Martin O'Malley.

The topics covered during the debate included Sanders' campaign's breach of Clinton's campaign data, strategy for defeating ISIS, gun control, the issue of whether to depose President Assad of Syria, if Wall Street favored each candidate, stability in the Middle East enforced by dictators and whether regime change was necessary, and the role of the First Spouse.^[3]

February 2016 forum in Derry

A fifth forum, a Town Hall event, was held on February 3, 2016, in Derry, New Hampshire. It aired on CNN.^[4]

Lesser known candidates forum at Goffstown

One of the highlights of the campaign is when the non-recognized candidates gather together to introduce themselves to the public at this event, which first was held in 1972.^[5]

Due to the notorious glitter-bombing incident of the previous cycle, Vermin Supreme was pointedly dis-invited,^[6] but showed up anyway, and made the national news. Eighteen people showed up: Jon Adams, Eric Elbot, Rocky De La Fuente, Mark Greenstein, Henry Hewes, William McGaughey, Edward O'Donnell, Graham Schwass, Sam Sloan, Edward Sonnino, Michael Steinberg, and several others.

February 2016 debate in Durham

Unlike in previous years, initially, only a single authorized debate was scheduled to be held in New Hampshire. Initially planned as an unsanctioned debate, a debate on February 4 in Durham, New Hampshire was however later confirmed by the DNC. Hosted by Chuck Todd and Rachel Maddow, it was broadcast by NBC News. While Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, and Martin O'Malley all confirmed their participation, O'Malley eventually came to suspend his campaign prior to the debate.

Commentators of the debate cited the elevated discourse between the candidates. There was discussion on the death penalty (federal versus state), money in politics, and assessing Iran, North Korea and Russia as threats to national security. Clinton demanded that Sanders explain his "artful smears" of Clinton receiving campaign donations. Sanders responded by critiquing the inherently "quid-pro-quo" nature of Wall Street campaign donations. The exchange between the two candidates was called by Eric Levitz one of the best 10-minute exchanges in the history of American political debates.^[7]

Candidates

This is a list of the candidates^[8] on the ballot in the New Hampshire primary.

The following notable candidates had participated in all authorized debates:

Hillary Clinton of New York (campaign), United States Secretary of State (2009–2013), presidential candidate in 2008, United States Senator from New York (2001–2009), First Lady of the United States (1993–2001)
Bernie Sanders of Vermont (campaign), United States Senator from Vermont (2007–present), United States Representative from Vermont (1991–2007), Mayor of Burlington (1981–1989)
Martin O'Malley of Maryland (campaign), Governor of Maryland (2007–2015), Mayor of Baltimore (1999–2007). By this time, O'Malley had withdrawn from the race.

The following candidates have not been invited to any major debates or listed in national polls, but were notable enough to have Wikipedia articles written about them:

Rocky De La Fuente of California, businessman
Keith Russell Judd of Texas, perennial candidate^[9]^[10]
Sam Sloan of New York, former chess administrator and 2012 Libertarian Party candidate
Vermin Supreme of Massachusetts, performance artist and perennial candidate^[11]^[12]
John Wolfe, Jr. of Tennessee, attorney, Democratic Party nominee for U.S. House of Representatives for Tennessee's 3rd congressional district, 2002, 2004, 2010^[13]^[14]

In addition to appearing on the New Hampshire primary ballot, the following candidates were on the primary ballot in one or more other state(s):

Steve Burke, former St. Lawrence County Democratic Committee Chair
Henry Hewes
Michael Steinberg, lawyer, candidate U.S. House of Representatives 2006
Star Locke of Texas, rancher
James Valentine of Virginia, political philosopher^[15]^[16]^[17]

The following were not listed on the primary ballot in any state(s) other than New Hampshire:^[18]

Jon Adams of New York
Eric Elbot of Massachusetts
Bill French of Pennsylvania
Mark Stewart Greenstein of Connecticut
Brock C. Hutton of Maryland
Lloyd Kelso of North Carolina
Steven Roy Lipscomb of New Mexico
Robert Lovitt of Kentucky
William H. McGaughey, Jr. of Minnesota
Raymond Michael Moroz of New York
Edward T. O'Donnell, Jr.
Edward Sonnino
Graham Schwass
David John Thistle of New Hampshire
Richard Lyons Weil of Colorado

Opinion polling

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Official Primary results^[19]	February 9, 2016	Bernie Sanders 60.1%	Hillary Clinton 37.7%		Others / Uncommitted 2.2%
American Research Group^[20] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 408	February 6–7, 2016	Bernie Sanders 53%	Hillary Clinton 41%		Undecided 6%
University of Massachusetts-Lowell/7 News survey^[21] Margin of error: ± 5.38% Sample size: 428	February 4–6, 2016	Bernie Sanders 57%	Hillary Clinton 40%		Others / Undecided 3%
University of Massachusetts-Lowell/7 News survey^[22] Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 442	January 29–31, 2016	Bernie Sanders 61%	Hillary Clinton 30%	Martin O'Malley 1%	Undecided 6%
CNN/WMUR^[23] Margin of error: ± 5.3% Sample size: 347	January 27–30, 2016	Bernie Sanders 57%	Hillary Clinton 34%	Martin O'Malley 1%	Other, Undecided, or Not Committed 9%
Emerson College^[24] Margin of error ± 5.2% Sample Size: 350	January 25–26, 2016	Bernie Sanders 52%	Hillary Clinton 44%	Martin O'Malley 3%	Other 1%
American Research Group^[25] Margin of error ± 4% Sample Size: 396	January 23–25, 2016	Bernie Sanders 49%	Hillary Clinton 42%	Martin O'Malley 3%	Other 6%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald^[26] Margin of error ± 4.9% Sample Size: 408	January 20–24, 2016	Bernie Sanders 55%	Hillary Clinton 39%	Martin O'Malley 2%	Other 5%
Fox News^[27] Margin of error ± 4.5% Sample Size: 400	January 18–21, 2016	Bernie Sanders 56%	Hillary Clinton 34%	Martin O'Malley 3%	Other 7%
CBS News/YouGov^[28] Margin of error ± 6.2% Sample Size:	January 18–21, 2016	Bernie Sanders 57%	Hillary Clinton 38%	Martin O'Malley 5%	No preference 0%
Suffolk University^[29] Margin of error – Sample Size: 500	January 17–21, 2016	Bernie Sanders 50%	Hillary Clinton 41%	Martin O'Malley 2%	Other/Undecided 7%
American Research Group^[30] Margin of error ± 4% Sample Size: 600	January 15–18, 2016	Bernie Sanders 49%	Hillary Clinton 43%	Martin O'Malley 3%	Undecided 5%
Gravis Marketing^[31] Margin of error ± 4.5% Sample Size: 472	January 15–18, 2016	Bernie Sanders 46%	Hillary Clinton 43%	Martin O'Malley 2%	Undecided 8%
CNN and WMUR^[32] Margin of error ± 4.8% Sample Size: 420	January 13–18, 2016	Bernie Sanders 60%	Hillary Clinton 33%	Martin O'Malley 1%	Undecided 6%
Monmouth University Poll^[33] Margin of error ± 4.8% Sample Size: 413	January 7–10, 2016	Bernie Sanders 53%	Hillary Clinton 39%	Martin O'Malley 5%	Undecided 3%
Fox News^[34] Margin of error ± 5% Sample Size: 386	January 4–7, 2016	Bernie Sanders 50%	Hillary Clinton 37%	Martin O'Malley 3%	Other 2%, None of the above 5%, Don't know 3%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist Margin of error: ± 4.8% Sample size: 425	January 2–7, 2016	Bernie Sanders 50%	Hillary Clinton 46%	Martin O'Malley 1%

Polls in 2015

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
American Research Group^[30] Margin of error ± 4% Sample Size: 600	December 20–22, 2015	Hillary Clinton 46%	Bernie Sanders 43%	Martin O'Malley 3%	Other <0.5%, Undecided 7%
YouGov/CBS News^[35] Margin of error ± 5.7% Sample Size: 1091	December 14–17, 2015	Bernie Sanders 56%	Hillary Clinton 42%	Martin O'Malley 1%	No preference 1%
Boston Herald^[36] Margin of error ± 4.8% Sample Size: 410	December 13–17, 2015	Bernie Sanders 48%	Hillary Clinton 46%	Martin O'Malley 2%	Undecided 4%
CNN and WMUR^[37] Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 370	November 30 – December 7, 2015	Bernie Sanders 50%	Hillary Clinton 40%	Martin O'Malley 1%	Someone Else/Not Sure 6%
Public Policy Polling^[38] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 458	November 30 – December 2, 2015	Hillary Clinton 44%	Bernie Sanders 42%	Martin O'Malley 8%	Someone Else/Not Sure 7%
YouGov/CBS News^[39] Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 561	November 15–19, 2015	Bernie Sanders 52%	Hillary Clinton 45%	Martin O'Malley 3%	Undecided 0%
Fox News^[40] Margin of error: ± 3.5% Sample size: 804	November 15–17, 2015	Bernie Sanders 45%	Hillary Clinton 44%	Martin O'Malley 5%	None 1%, Don't Know 5%
Gravis Marketing^[41] Margin of error: ± 6.7% Sample size: 214	November 11, 2015	Hillary Clinton 46%	Bernie Sanders 25%	Martin O'Malley 3%	Unsure 26%
Monmouth University Polling Institute^[42] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 403	October 29 – November 1, 2015	Hillary Clinton 48%	Bernie Sanders 45%	Martin O'Malley 3%	Lawrence Lessig 1%
YouGov/CBS News^[43] Margin of error: ± 7.1% Sample size: 499	October 15–22, 2015	Bernie Sanders 54%	Hillary Clinton 39%	Martin O'Malley 3%	Lincoln Chafee 0%, Lawrence Lessig 0%, No preference 3%
Public Policy Polling^[44] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 393	October 16–18, 2015	Hillary Clinton 41%	Bernie Sanders 33%	Joe Biden 11%	Martin O'Malley 4%, Lincoln Chafee 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Lawrence Lessig 0%, Not Sure 7%
Bloomberg/San Anselm Poll^[45] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400	October 15–18, 2015	Bernie Sanders 41%	Hillary Clinton 36%	Joe Biden 10%	Jim Webb 1%, Lawrence Lessig 1%, Someone Else 1%, None of the Above 2%, Not Sure 8%
Franklin Pierce-Herald^[46] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 403	October 14–17, 2015	Bernie Sanders 38%	Hillary Clinton 30%	Joe Biden 19%	Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee 1%
Boston Globe/Suffolk University^[47] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500	October 14–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton 36.8%	Bernie Sanders 35.4%	Joe Biden 11.2%	Jim Webb 2.6%, Martin O'Malley 1.4%, Lincoln Chafee 0.6%, Lawrence Lessig 0.2%, Undecided 11.6%
Gravis Marketing^[48] Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 373	October 5–6, 2015	Bernie Sanders 32.8%	Hillary Clinton 30.2%	Joe Biden 10.6%	Martin O'Malley 1.5%, Jim Webb 0.7%, Lincoln Chafee 0.8%, Undecided 23.3%
NBC News/WSJ/Marist^[49] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 404	September 23–30, 2015	Bernie Sanders 42%	Hillary Clinton 28%	Joe Biden 18%	Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Undecided 9%
	September 23–30, 2015	Bernie Sanders 48%	Hillary Clinton 39%	Lincoln Chafee 2%	Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Undecided 9%
UNH/WMUR^[50] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 314	September 17–23, 2015	Bernie Sanders 46%	Hillary Clinton 30%	Joe Biden 14%	Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Someone else 1%, Don't Know Yet 6%
MassINC/WBUR/NPR^[51] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 404	September 12–15, 2015	Bernie Sanders 35%	Hillary Clinton 31%	Joe Biden 14%	Jim Webb 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Did not know/refused 10%, Some other candidate 4%, Would not vote 2%
Monmouth University^[52] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400	September 10–13, 2015	Bernie Sanders 43%	Hillary Clinton 36%	Joe Biden 13%	Martin O'Malley 2%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Lawrence Lessig 1%, other 1%, undecided 3%
YouGov/CBS News^[53] Margin of error: ± 7.4% Sample size: 548	September 3–10, 2015	Bernie Sanders 52%	Hillary Clinton 30%	Joe Biden 9%	Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Jim Webb 0%, No preference 8%
NBC News/Marist Poll^[54] Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 356	Published September 6, 2015	Bernie Sanders 41%	Hillary Clinton 32%	Joe Biden 16%	Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Lincoln Chafee <1%, Undecided 8%
	Published September 6, 2015	Bernie Sanders 49%	Hillary Clinton 38%	Jim Webb 2%	Lincoln Chafee 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Undecided 8%
Public Policy Polling^[55] Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 370	August 21–24, 2015	Bernie Sanders 42%	Hillary Clinton 35%	Jim Webb 6%	Martin O'Malley 4%, Lincoln Chafee 2%, Lawrence Lessig 1%, Not sure 10%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald^[56] Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 442	August 7–10, 2015	Bernie Sanders 44%	Hillary Clinton 37%	Joe Biden 9%	Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley <1%, Lincoln Chafee <1%, Other/Not sure 9%
Gravis Marketing/One America News^[57] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 475	July 31 – August 3, 2015	Hillary Clinton 43%	Bernie Sanders 39%	Elizabeth Warren 8%	Joe Biden 6%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Lincoln Chafee 0%
UNH/WMUR^[58] Margin of error: ± 5.9% Sample size: 276	July 22–30, 2015	Hillary Clinton 42%	Bernie Sanders 36%	Joe Biden 5%	Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Someone else 3%, Don't Know Yet 12%
NBC News/Marist^[59] Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 329	July 14–21, 2015	Hillary Clinton 42%	Bernie Sanders 32%	Joe Biden 12%	Martin O'Malley 3%, Lincoln Chafee 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Undecided 10%
CNN/WMUR^[60] Margin of error: ± 5.2% Sample size: 360	June 18–24, 2015	Hillary Clinton 43%	Bernie Sanders 35%	Joe Biden 8%	Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Someone else 2%, Not sure 9%
Bloomberg/Saint Anselm^[61] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400	June 19–22, 2015	Hillary Clinton 56%	Bernie Sanders 24%	Martin O'Malley 2%	Lincoln Chafee 1%, None of the above 4%, Not sure 12%
Suffolk^[62] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 500	June 11–15, 2015	Hillary Clinton 41%	Bernie Sanders 31%	Joe Biden 7%	Martin O'Malley 3%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Other 0%, Undecided 15%
Morning Consult^[63] Margin of error: ± 6% Sample size: 279	May 31 – June 8, 2015	Hillary Clinton 44%	Bernie Sanders 32%	Joe Biden 8%	Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 1%, Lincoln Chafee 0%, Someone else 0%, Don't know/no opinion 11%
Purple Strategies^[64] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400	May 2–6, 2015	Hillary Clinton 62%	Bernie Sanders 18%	Joe Biden 5%	Martin O'Malley 3%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Someone else 0%, None of the above 3%, Not sure 8%
UNH/WMUR^[65] Margin of error: ± 6.5% Sample size: 229	April 24 – May 3, 2015	Hillary Clinton 51%	Elizabeth Warren 20%	Bernie Sanders 13%	Andrew Cuomo 3%, Joe Biden 2%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Undecided 8%
Gravis Marketing^[66] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 369	April 21–22, 2015	Hillary Clinton 45%	Elizabeth Warren 24%	Bernie Sanders 12%	Joe Biden 7%, Martin O'Malley 4%, Lincoln Chafee 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Bill de Blasio 0.4%, Undecided 5%
	April 21–22, 2015	Hillary Clinton 54%	Bernie Sanders 19%	Joe Biden 10%	Martin O'Malley 5%, Jim Webb 4%, Lincoln Chafee 2%, Bill de Blasio 1%, Undecided 6%
Public Policy Polling^[67] Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 329	April 9–13, 2015	Hillary Clinton 45%	Elizabeth Warren 23%	Bernie Sanders 12%	Joe Biden 7%, Martin O'Malley 3%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Other/Undecided 9%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald^[68] Margin of error: ± 4.7% Sample size: 417	March 22–25, 2015	Hillary Clinton 47%	Elizabeth Warren 22%	Joe Biden 10%	Bernie Sanders 8%, Andrew Cuomo 4%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb <1%, Other 3%, Unsure 5%
	March 22–25, 2015	Hillary Clinton 41%	Elizabeth Warren 20%	Al Gore 16%	Joe Biden 7%, Bernie Sanders 6%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Martin O'Malley <1%, Jim Webb <1%, Other 2%, Unsure 6%
Gravis Marketing^[69] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 427	March 18–19, 2015	Hillary Clinton 49%	Elizabeth Warren 20%	Bernie Sanders 12%	Joe Biden 5%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Jim Webb 2%, Unsure 10%
NBC News/Marist^[70] Margin of error: ± 5.6% Sample size: 309	February 3–10, 2015	Hillary Clinton 69%	Bernie Sanders 13%	Joe Biden 8%	Jim Webb 2%, Martin O'Malley <1%, Undecided 7%
Purple Strategies^[71] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 400	January 31 – February 5, 2015	Hillary Clinton 56%	Elizabeth Warren 15%	Joe Biden 8%	Bernie Sanders 8%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Jim Webb 0%, Someone else 0%, None of the above 2%, Not sure 11%
Gravis Marketing^[72] Margin of error: ± 5% Sample size: 384	February 2–3, 2015	Hillary Clinton 44%	Elizabeth Warren 25%	Bernie Sanders 13%	Joe Biden 5%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Unsure 10%
UNH/WMUR^[73] Margin of error: ± 5.7% Sample size: 297	January 22 – February 3, 2015	Hillary Clinton 58%	Elizabeth Warren 14%	Joe Biden 8%	Bernie Sanders 6%, Andrew Cuomo 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Someone else 1%, Don't know yet 9%

Polls in 2014

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
Purple Insights^[74] Margin of error: ± 4.9% Sample size: 404	November 12–18, 2014	Hillary Clinton 62%	Elizabeth Warren 13%	Bernie Sanders 6%	Joe Biden 5%, Deval Patrick 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Someone else 0%, None of the above 2%, Not sure 8%
New England College^[75] Margin of error: ± 4.06% Sample size: 583	October 31 – November 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton 53.1%	Elizabeth Warren 16.8%	Bernie Sanders 7%	Joe Biden 5.8%, Martin O'Malley 2.3%, Deval Patrick 1.4%, Andrew Cuomo 1.2%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1.2%, Mark Warner 1.2%, Other 10%
UMass Amherst^[76] Margin of error: ± ? Sample size: 204	October 10–15, 2014	Hillary Clinton 49%	Elizabeth Warren 16%	Bernie Sanders 11%	Joe Biden 6%, Andrew Cuomo 3%, Deval Patrick 3%, Martin O'Malley <1%, Cory Booker <1%, Other 11%
WMUR/UNH^[77] Margin of error: ± 5.9% Sample size: 275	September 29 – October 5, 2014	Hillary Clinton 58%	Elizabeth Warren 18%	Joe Biden 3%	Martin O'Malley 3%, Bernie Sanders 3%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Mark Warner <1%, Other 1%, Undecided 13%
CNN/ORC^[78] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 334	September 8–11, 2014	Hillary Clinton 60%	Elizabeth Warren 11%	Joe Biden 8%	Bernie Sanders 7%, Deval Patrick 4%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Other 1%, None/No one 2%, No opinion 6%
NBC News/Marist^[79] Margin of error: ± 4.5% Sample size: 479	July 7–13, 2014	Hillary Clinton 74%	Joe Biden 18%	Undecided 8%
WMUR/UNH^[80] Margin of error: ± 6.1% Sample size: 257	June 19 – July 1, 2014	Hillary Clinton 59%	Joe Biden 14%	Elizabeth Warren 8%	Bernie Sanders 5%, Andrew Cuomo 3%, Mark Warner 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Other 1%, Undecided 9%
WMUR/UNH^[81] Margin of error: ± 7.2% Sample size: 184	April 1–9, 2014	Hillary Clinton 65%	Joe Biden 6%	Andrew Cuomo 4%	Mark Warner 2%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Other 5%, Undecided 18%
WMUR/UNH^[82] Margin of error: ± 6.2% Sample size: 252	January 21–26, 2014	Hillary Clinton 74%	Joe Biden 10%	Andrew Cuomo 2%	Mark Warner 1%, Martin O'Malley <1%, Brian Schweitzer <1%, Kirsten Gillibrand 0%, Other 2%, Undecided 10%
Purple Strategies^[83] Margin of error: ± 5.4% Sample size: 334	January 21–23, 2014	Hillary Clinton 68%	Elizabeth Warren 13%	Joe Biden 6%	Deval Patrick 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Other 2%, None 1%, Undecided 5%
Public Policy Polling^[84] Margin of error: ± 4.4% Sample size: 502	January 9–12, 2014	Hillary Clinton 65%	Joe Biden 10%	Elizabeth Warren 8%	Andrew Cuomo 3%, Cory Booker 2%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone else/Not sure 9%
		Joe Biden 32%	Elizabeth Warren 21%	Andrew Cuomo 9%	Cory Booker 4%, Kirsten Gillibrand 4%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Mark Warner 1%, Someone else/Not sure 26%
		Elizabeth Warren 30%	Andrew Cuomo 19%	Cory Booker 9%	Martin O'Malley 5%, Kirsten Gillibrand 4%, Brian Schweitzer 2%, Mark Warner 2%, Someone else/Not sure 28%

Polls in 2013

Poll source	Date	1st	2nd	3rd	Other
WMUR/UNH^[85] Margin of error: ± 6.2% Sample size: 252	October 7–16, 2013	Hillary Clinton 64%	Joe Biden 6%	Elizabeth Warren 6%	Andrew Cuomo 2%, Deval Patrick 1%, Evan Bayh <1%, Cory Booker <1%, Martin O'Malley <1%, Mark Warner <1%, Kirsten Gillibrand 0%, John Hickenlooper 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 18%
Public Policy Polling^[86] Margin of error: ± 4.6% Sample size: 455	September 13–16, 2013	Hillary Clinton 57%	Joe Biden 12%	Elizabeth Warren 11%	Cory Booker 4%, Andrew Cuomo 2%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Mark Warner 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Someone else/Not sure 11%
		Joe Biden 36%	Elizabeth Warren 20%	Cory Booker 9%	Andrew Cuomo 7%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Mark Warner 1%, Someone else/Not sure 23%
		Elizabeth Warren 33%	Andrew Cuomo 14%	Cory Booker 12%	Kirsten Gillibrand 5%, Martin O'Malley 4%, Mark Warner 2%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Someone else/Not sure 30%
WMUR/UNH^[87] Margin of error: ± 7.1% Sample size: 190	July 18–29, 2013	Hillary Clinton 62%	Joe Biden 8%	Deval Patrick 5%	Cory Booker 2%, Andrew Cuomo 1%, Evan Bayh <1%, Kirsten Gillibrand <1%, John Hickenlooper <1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Other 2%, Unsure 19%
New England College^[88] Margin of error: ± 5.37% Sample size: 333	July, 2013	Hillary Clinton 65%	Joe Biden 8%	Jeanne Shaheen 6%	Andrew Cuomo 1.5%, Martin O'Malley 0.6%, Unsure 19%
New England College^[89] Margin of error: ± 5.5% Sample size: 314	May, 2013	Hillary Clinton 65%	Joe Biden 10%	Elizabeth Warren 5%	Andrew Cuomo 4%, Deval Patrick 3%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Unsure 13%
Public Policy Polling^[90] Margin of error: ± 5.1% Sample size: 368	April 19–21, 2013	Hillary Clinton 68%	Joe Biden 12%	Elizabeth Warren 5%	Andrew Cuomo 3%, Deval Patrick 2%, Kirsten Gillibrand 1%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Mark Warner 0%, Someone Else/Undecided 9%
		Joe Biden 44%	Elizabeth Warren 12%	Andrew Cuomo 9%	Deval Patrick 9%, Kirsten Gillibrand 2%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Mark Warner 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 21%
		Andrew Cuomo 23%	Elizabeth Warren 22%	Deval Patrick 17%	Kirsten Gillibrand 4%, Martin O'Malley 2%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, Mark Warner 1%, Someone Else/Undecided 30%
WMUR/UNH^[91] Margin of error: ± 7.1% Sample size: 188	April 4–9, 2013	Hillary Clinton 61%	Joe Biden 7%	Andrew Cuomo 3%	Deval Patrick 3%, Mark Warner 2%, Evan Bayh 1%, Cory Booker 1%, John Hickenlooper 0%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Brian Schweitzer 0%, Antonio Villaraigosa 0%, Someone Else 2%, Undecided 22%
WMUR/UNH^[92] Margin of error: ± 7% Sample size: 201	Jan. 30–Feb. 5, 2013	Hillary Clinton 63%	Joe Biden 10%	Andrew Cuomo 5%	Cory Booker 2%, Evan Bayh 1%, Deval Patrick 1%, Brian Schweitzer 1%, John Hickenlooper <1%, Martin O'Malley <1%, Antonio Villaraigosa <1%, Mark Warner <1%, Someone Else 1%, Undecided 16%

Results

New Hampshire Democratic primary, February 9, 2016
Candidate	Popular vote		Estimated delegates
Candidate	Count	Of total	Pledged	Unpledged	Total
Bernie Sanders	152,193	60.14%	15	1	16
Hillary Clinton	95,355	37.68%	9	6	15
Martin O'Malley (withdrawn)	667	0.26%
Vermin Supreme	268	0.11%
David John Thistle	226	0.09%
Graham Schwass	143	0.06%
Steve Burke	108	0.04%
Rocky De La Fuente	96	0.04%
John Wolfe Jr.	54	0.02%
Jon Adams	53	0.02%
Lloyd Thomas Kelso	46	0.02%
Keith Russell Judd	44	0.02%
Eric Elbot	36	0.01%
Star Locke	33	0.01%
William D. French	29	0.01%
Mark Stewart Greenstein	29	0.01%
Edward T. O'Donnell	26	0.01%
James Valentine	24	0.01%
Robert Lovitt	22	0.01%
Michael Steinberg	21	0.01%
William H. McGaughey Jr.	19	0.01%
Henry Hewes	18	0.01%
Edward Sonnino	17	0.01%
Steven Roy Lipscomb	15	0.01%
Sam Sloan	15	0.01%
Brock C. Hutton	14	0.01%
Raymond Michael Moroz	8	0.00%
Richard Lyons Weil	8	0.00%
Write-ins^[b]	3,475	1.37%
Uncommitted	—		0	1	1
Total	253,062	100%	24	8	32
Sources:^[95]^[96]

Results by county

Sanders won every county.^[97]

County	Clinton	Votes	Sanders	Votes
Belknap	35.7%	3,490	61.3%	5,990
Carroll	36.0%	3,230	63.1%	5,655
Cheshire	29.0%	5,166	70.1%	12,471
Coös	35.0%	2,013	63.2%	3,637
Grafton	32.3%	6,918	66.6%	14,258
Hillsborough	41.3%	28,099	56.7%	38,646
Merrimack	39.8%	12,209	59.0%	18,076
Rockingham	41.6%	22,829	56.7%	31,080
Strafford	35.1%	8,801	63.2%	15,865
Sullivan	29.0%	2,497	68.5%	5,906

Analysis

Sanders scored a landslide 22-point routing in the New Hampshire primary, thanks to what The New York Times described as a "harness [of] working-class fury"^[98] against the so-called "establishment" candidates like Hillary Clinton, in a state known for its rebellious electorate. Sanders' win was propelled by younger voters, whom he won 74–25, men whom he won 67–32, self-identified Independents whom he won 73–25, and white voters whom he won 61-37 and who comprised 91% of the Democratic electorate in New Hampshire. According to exit polls, a 53–45 majority of voters thought Clinton was not honest or trustworthy, while 89% said Sanders was honest. 61% of voters said they were dissatisfied or angry about the federal government. Sanders swept all income levels and educational attainment levels in New Hampshire, except those who made more than $200k per year.

Sanders swept all of the major cities, including Nashua, Dover, Concord, and Manchester. Sanders won along the seacoast 59–41, in the Manchester/Nashua area 54–44, in Concord/Ct. Valley 64–35, in the south 59–39, and in the north 65–33.^[99] Clinton only won three towns: Bedford, Millsfield, and Windham.^[100]

Sanders' landslide victory was a clear regression for Clinton from 2008, when she had narrowly beaten Barack Obama in the 2008 New Hampshire primary thanks to support from populous southern New Hampshire. Both Sanders' percentage of the vote and margin of victory are the largest in a Democratic New Hampshire primary since John F. Kennedy in 1960.

References

Notes

^ The Associated Press did not report results from municipalities where there were five or fewer registered voters.^[93]
^ The write-ins include 3,248 votes for these 11 Republican presidential candidates: Trump (1795), Kasich (438), Jeb Bush (263), Christie (216), Marco Rubio (203), Ted Cruz (162), Fiorina (99), Carson (52), Paul (12), Gilmore (6), Huckabee (2).^[94]

Citations

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^ "Third Democratic Presidential Debate: 9 Moments That Mattered". ABC News. December 19, 2015. Retrieved December 20, 2015.
^ Martin, Jonathan; Chozick, Amy (December 19, 2015). "In Democratic Debate, Hillary Clinton's Focus Is on G.O.P." The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved December 20, 2015.
^ Metzler, Rebekah (January 31, 2016). "Dem candidates to attend New Hampshire town hall". CNN. Retrieved January 31, 2016.
^ Weigel, David (January 25, 2016). "The existential pleasures of the Lesser-Known Candidates presidential debate". The Washington Post.
^ "'Lesser-known candidates' to gather for N.H. forum". The Boston Globe.
^ "Clinton and Sanders Spar Over Campaign Donations". NYMag.
^ William M. Gardner : Secretary of State. "Home - NHSOS". Sos.nh.gov. Retrieved December 23, 2015.
^ Whittaker, Richard. "Presidential Candidates File in Texas: Clinton and Judd only Dems to file for president in Texas so far - News". The Austin Chronicle. Retrieved December 5, 2015.
^ "Candidate Inquiry". Voterportal.sos.la.gov. Retrieved December 5, 2015.
^ Sutherland, Paige (November 20, 2015). "Fired Up About the "Pony Economy"? Vermin Supreme Just Might Be Your Candidate". New Hampshire Public Radio. Retrieved November 23, 2015.
^ Snyder, Brian (November 20, 2015). "U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Vermin Supreme files his declaration of candidacy to appear on the New Hampshire primary election ballot in Concord". Yahoo! News. Reuters. Retrieved November 23, 2015.
^ "The Latest: Attorney files to run for Supreme Court post". Times Union. Retrieved November 12, 2015.
^ William M. Gardner. "Home - NHSOS". Sos.nh.gov. Retrieved December 5, 2015.
^ Federal Election Commission, "Details for Candidate ID : P60017100" (Valentine, James). Retrieved November 8, 2015.
^ The Associated Press (November 5, 2015). "Democrat urging Constitution rewrite files to run for president in Arkansas", Arkansas Online.
^ The Associated Press (November 5, 2015). "Fourth Democrat files to run for president in Arkansas", KATV.
^ Office of New Hampshire Secretary of State
^ Official Primary results
^ "American Research Group (2/6-2/7 2016)". The Huffington Post.
^ "UMass Lowell/7News Daily Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 6 of 8" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell Centre for Public Opinion. February 2016. Retrieved February 6, 2016.
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^ Agiesta, Jennifer (January 31, 2016). "Before Iowa, New Hampshire backs Trump, Sanders". CNN. Retrieved February 1, 2016.
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^ Myers, R. Kelly (January 25, 2016). "Bernie Sanders has Re-Opened a Lead over Hillary Clinton in the Democratic Presidential Race in New Hampshire" (PDF). Franklin Pierce University; Boston Herald. Retrieved February 5, 2016.
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^ Will Jordan. "Sanders up big in New Hampshire and Iowa; Carson trails Trump". YouGov.
^ "NBC News/Marist Poll – September 2015 – New Hampshire Questionnaire". Retrieved September 6, 2015.
^ "Trump Way Ahead in New Hampshire; Sanders Leads Clinton" (PDF). Retrieved August 25, 2015.
^ "Bernie Sanders surges ahead of Hillary Clinton in N.H., 44-37". Retrieved August 11, 2015.
^ "Clinton in Jeopardy of Losing New Hampshire to Sanders". New Hampshire Results. PR Newswire. Retrieved August 5, 2015.
^ "Sanders keeping pace with Clinton in New Hampshire" (PDF). New Hampshire Results. WMUR. Retrieved August 4, 2015.
^ "New Hampshire Results" (PDF). NBC News/Marist. Retrieved July 26, 2015.
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^ Gravis Marketing
^ NBC News/Marist
^ Purple Strategies
^ Gravis Marketing
^ UNH/WMUR
^ Purple Insights
^ New England College
^ UMass Amherst
^ WMUR/UNH
^ CNN/ORC
^ NBC News/Marist
^ WMUR/UNH
^ WMUR/UNH
^ WMUR/UNH
^ Purple Strategies
^ Public Policy Polling
^ WMUR/UNH
^ Public Policy Polling
^ WMUR/UNH
^ New England College
^ New England College
^ Public Policy Polling
^ WMUR/UNH
^ WMUR/UNH
^ Mihalik, Lily; Anthony, Pesce; Ben, Welsh (February 10, 2016). "Live results from the 2016 New Hampshire primary". Los Angeles Times. Retrieved February 10, 2016.
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^ "New Hampshire Primary Election Results 2016". The New York Times. September 29, 2016. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved November 21, 2020.

[unreported-94] The Associated Press did not report results from municipalities where there were five or fewer registered voters.^[93]

[Write-ins-96] The write-ins include 3,248 votes for these 11 Republican presidential candidates: Trump (1795), Kasich (438), Jeb Bush (263), Christie (216), Marco Rubio (203), Ted Cruz (162), Fiorina (99), Carson (52), Paul (12), Gilmore (6), Huckabee (2).^[94]

[1] "2016 Presidential Primaries, Caucuses, and Conventions: New Hampshire Democrat Presidential Nominating Process". The Green Papers. December 5, 2019. Archived from the original on February 18, 2018. Retrieved February 10, 2016.

[abcnews1-2] "Third Democratic Presidential Debate: 9 Moments That Mattered". ABC News. December 19, 2015. Retrieved December 20, 2015.

[3] Martin, Jonathan; Chozick, Amy (December 19, 2015). "In Democratic Debate, Hillary Clinton's Focus Is on G.O.P." The New York Times. ISSN 0362-4331. Retrieved December 20, 2015.

[4] Metzler, Rebekah (January 31, 2016). "Dem candidates to attend New Hampshire town hall". CNN. Retrieved January 31, 2016.

[5] Weigel, David (January 25, 2016). "The existential pleasures of the Lesser-Known Candidates presidential debate". The Washington Post.

[6] "'Lesser-known candidates' to gather for N.H. forum". The Boston Globe.

[7] "Clinton and Sanders Spar Over Campaign Donations". NYMag.

[8] William M. Gardner : Secretary of State. "Home - NHSOS". Sos.nh.gov. Retrieved December 23, 2015.

[9] Whittaker, Richard. "Presidential Candidates File in Texas: Clinton and Judd only Dems to file for president in Texas so far - News". The Austin Chronicle. Retrieved December 5, 2015.

[autogenerated1-10] "Candidate Inquiry". Voterportal.sos.la.gov. Retrieved December 5, 2015.

[11] Sutherland, Paige (November 20, 2015). "Fired Up About the "Pony Economy"? Vermin Supreme Just Might Be Your Candidate". New Hampshire Public Radio. Retrieved November 23, 2015.

[12] Snyder, Brian (November 20, 2015). "U.S. Democratic presidential candidate Vermin Supreme files his declaration of candidacy to appear on the New Hampshire primary election ballot in Concord". Yahoo! News. Reuters. Retrieved November 23, 2015.

[13] "The Latest: Attorney files to run for Supreme Court post". Times Union. Retrieved November 12, 2015.

[sos.nh.gov-14] William M. Gardner. "Home - NHSOS". Sos.nh.gov. Retrieved December 5, 2015.

[15] Federal Election Commission, "Details for Candidate ID : P60017100" (Valentine, James). Retrieved November 8, 2015.

[16] The Associated Press (November 5, 2015). "Democrat urging Constitution rewrite files to run for president in Arkansas", Arkansas Online.

[17] The Associated Press (November 5, 2015). "Fourth Democrat files to run for president in Arkansas", KATV.

[18] Office of New Hampshire Secretary of State

[19] Official Primary results

[elections.huffingtonpost.com-20] "American Research Group (2/6-2/7 2016)". The Huffington Post.

[21] "UMass Lowell/7News Daily Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 6 of 8" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell Centre for Public Opinion. February 2016. Retrieved February 6, 2016.

[22] Dyck, Joshua J. (January 2016). "UMass Lowell/7News Tracking Poll of New Hampshire Voters Release 1" (PDF). University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion. Retrieved February 5, 2016.

[23] Agiesta, Jennifer (January 31, 2016). "Before Iowa, New Hampshire backs Trump, Sanders". CNN. Retrieved February 1, 2016.

[24] "NEW HAMPSHIRE – TRUMP COMFORTABLY AHEAD; BUSH SURGES TO SECOND, KASICH IN THIRD; SANDERS CRUISING AHEAD OF CLINTON" (PDF). Emerson College Polling Society. January 27, 2016. Retrieved February 5, 2016.

[25] "New Hampshire". American Research Group, Inc. Retrieved February 5, 2016.

[26] Myers, R. Kelly (January 25, 2016). "Bernie Sanders has Re-Opened a Lead over Hillary Clinton in the Democratic Presidential Race in New Hampshire" (PDF). Franklin Pierce University; Boston Herald. Retrieved February 5, 2016.

[27] "Fox News Poll: Sanders up by 22 points in New Hampshire".

[28] "CBS News 2016 Battleground TrackerNew Hampshire".

[29] "Final January 2016 NH DEM Study" (PDF). Suffolk.edu. Retrieved January 23, 2016.

[americanresearchgroup1-30] "New Hampshire Democratic Presidential Preference Primary". Americanresearchgroup.com. Retrieved January 19, 2016.

[31] "New Hampshire Polling Results" (PDF). Retrieved January 22, 2016.

[cnnNewHampshire1-32] "CNN and WMUR Poll". CNN. Retrieved January 19, 2016.

[Monmouth_University-33] "New Hampshire: Sanders takes control" (PDF). monmouth.edu. Retrieved January 12, 2016.

[Fox_News-34] "Fox News Poll: New Hampshire presidential primary races". foxnews.com. Retrieved January 8, 2016.

[35] "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker New Hampshire" (PDF).

[http://www.bostonherald.com-36] "Boston Herald poll article".

[cnnNewHampshire2-37] "CNN and WMUR Poll" (PDF). CNN. Retrieved December 9, 2015.

[publicpolicypolling.com-38] "PPP NH poll" (PDF).

[cbsnews.com-39] "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker Iowa" (PDF).

[foxnews.com-40] "Fox News Poll: Trump, Sanders lead respective primaries in New Hampshire". Fox News.

[41] "Current New Hampshire Polling". Gravis.

[42] "New Hampshire: Clinton Pulls Ahead of Sanders" (PDF). Monmouth University Poll. November 3, 2015. Retrieved January 22, 2016.

[43] "CBS News 2016 Battleground Tracker New Hampshire" (PDF).

[44] Public Policy Polling

[45] "No Groundswell for Biden in New Hampshire: Bloomberg Politics/Saint Anselm Poll".

[46] "Franklin Pierce-Herald poll: Sanders keeps lead over Clinton". bostonherald.com/.

[47] "Full results of Suffolk University/Boston Globe poll". BostonGlobe.com.

[gravismarketing.com-48] "Latest NH Republican and Democratic Poll Results". Gravis.

[49] "NBC News/WSJ/Marist Poll October 2015 New Hampshire Questionnaire". Retrieved October 4, 2015.

[50] "Hillary Clinton trails Sanders in New Hampshire, even without Joe Biden in the race". New Hampshire Results. CNN. Retrieved September 24, 2015.

[51] "WBUR Poll New Hampshire 2016 Democratic Primary" (PDF). WBUR. Retrieved January 22, 2016.

[52] "New Hampshire: Sanders Leads Clinton by 7" (PDF). Monmouth University Poll. September 15, 2015. Retrieved January 22, 2015.

[willjordan-53] Will Jordan. "Sanders up big in New Hampshire and Iowa; Carson trails Trump". YouGov.

[NH20150906-54] "NBC News/Marist Poll – September 2015 – New Hampshire Questionnaire". Retrieved September 6, 2015.

[NH20150825-55] "Trump Way Ahead in New Hampshire; Sanders Leads Clinton" (PDF). Retrieved August 25, 2015.

[56] "Bernie Sanders surges ahead of Hillary Clinton in N.H., 44-37". Retrieved August 11, 2015.

[57] "Clinton in Jeopardy of Losing New Hampshire to Sanders". New Hampshire Results. PR Newswire. Retrieved August 5, 2015.

[58] "Sanders keeping pace with Clinton in New Hampshire" (PDF). New Hampshire Results. WMUR. Retrieved August 4, 2015.

[59] "New Hampshire Results" (PDF). NBC News/Marist. Retrieved July 26, 2015.

[60] "WMUR Dem poll" (PDF). wmur.com. Retrieved July 9, 2015.

[61] Bloomberg/Saint Anselm

[62] Suffolk

[63] Morning Consult

[64] Purple Strategies

[65] UNH/WMUR

[66] Gravis Marketing

[67] Public Policy Polling

[68] Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald

[69] Gravis Marketing

[70] NBC News/Marist

[71] Purple Strategies

[72] Gravis Marketing

[73] UNH/WMUR

[74] Purple Insights

[75] New England College

[76] UMass Amherst

[77] WMUR/UNH

[78] CNN/ORC

[79] NBC News/Marist

[80] WMUR/UNH

[81] WMUR/UNH

[82] WMUR/UNH

[83] Purple Strategies

[84] Public Policy Polling

[85] WMUR/UNH

[86] Public Policy Polling

[87] WMUR/UNH

[88] New England College

[89] New England College

[90] Public Policy Polling

[91] WMUR/UNH

[92] WMUR/UNH

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[NHprimaryDPresults2016Write-ins-95] "2016 Presidential Primary - Democratic President: Summary Democratic Write-ins". New Hampshire Secretary of State. Archived from the original on February 14, 2020. Retrieved February 14, 2020.

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