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2018 United States House of Representatives election ratings

2018 United States House of Representatives election ratings
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The 2018 United States House of Representatives elections were held on November 6, 2018, with early voting taking place in some states in the weeks preceding that date. Voters chose representatives from all 435 congressional districts across each of the 50 U.S. states. Non-voting delegates from the District of Columbia and four of the five inhabited U.S. territories[a] were also elected. These midterm elections took place nearly halfway through the first term of Republican President Donald Trump. The winners will serve in the 116th United States Congress, with seats apportioned among the states based on the 2010 United States census. On Election Day, Republicans had held a House majority since January 2011 as a result of the 2010 elections.

In the 2018 midterm elections, the Democrats won control of the House and had a net gain of more than 40 seats from their total after the 2016 elections (including one seat gained previously with Conor Lamb's March 2018 special election victory). This was their largest gain of seats since the 1974 elections, when they picked up 49 seats.

Election ratings

Latest published ratings for competitive seats

Several sites and individuals publish ratings of competitive seats. The seats listed below were considered competitive (not "safe" or "solid") by at least one of the rating groups. These ratings are based upon factors such as the strength of the incumbent (if the incumbent is running for re-election), the strength of the candidates, and the partisan history of the district (the Cook Partisan Voting Index is one example of this metric). Each rating describes the likelihood of a given outcome in the election.

Most election ratings use:

  • Tossup: no advantage
  • Tilt (sometimes used): very slight advantage
  • Lean: significant, but not overwhelming advantage
  • Likely: strong, but not certain advantage
  • Safe or Solid: outcome is nearly certain

The following are the latest published ratings for competitive seats.

District CPVI[1][2] Incumbent Previous
result[3] 		Cook
November 5, 2018[4] 		IE
November 5, 2018[5] 		Sabato
November 5, 2018[6] 		RCP
November 5, 2018[7] 		Daily Kos
November 5, 2018[8] 		538
November 6, 2018[b][9] 		Winner[10]
Alaska at-large R+9 Don Young (R) 50.3% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Tossup Lean R Lean R Don Young (R)
Arizona 1 R+2 Tom O'Halleran (D) 50.7% D Lean D Lean D Likely D Tossup Likely D Likely D Tom O'Halleran (D)
Arizona 2 R+1 Martha McSally (R) (retiring)[c] 57.0% R Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Likely D (flip) Lean D (flip) Likely D (flip) Safe D (flip) Ann Kirkpatrick (D)
Arizona 6 R+9 David Schweikert (R) 62.1% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R David Schweikert (R)
Arizona 8 R+13 Debbie Lesko (R) 52.4% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Debbie Lesko (R)
Arizona 9 D+4 Kyrsten Sinema (D) (retiring)[c] 60.9% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Greg Stanton (D)
Arkansas 2 R+7 French Hill (R) 58.4% R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R French Hill (R)
California 1 R+11 Doug LaMalfa (R) 59.1% R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Doug LaMalfa (R)
California 4 R+10 Tom McClintock (R) 62.7% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Tom McClintock (R)
California 7 D+3 Ami Bera (D) 51.2% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Lean D Safe D Safe D Ami Bera (D)
California 10 EVEN Jeff Denham (R) 51.7% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Likely D (flip) Josh Harder (D)
California 16 D+9 Jim Costa (D) 58.0% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Safe D Jim Costa (D)
California 21 D+5 David Valadao (R) 56.7% R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R TJ Cox (D)
California 22 R+8 Devin Nunes (R) 67.6% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Devin Nunes (R)
California 24 D+7 Salud Carbajal (D) 53.4% D Safe D Safe D Likely D Likely D Safe D Safe D Salud Carbajal (D)
California 25 EVEN Steve Knight (R) 53.1% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Katie Hill (D)
California 39 EVEN Ed Royce (R) (retiring) 57.2% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Tossup Gil Cisneros (D)
California 45 R+3 Mimi Walters (R) 58.6% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Katie Porter (D)
California 48 R+4 Dana Rohrabacher (R) 58.3% R Tossup Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Harley Rouda (D)
California 49 R+1 Darrell Issa (R) (retiring) 50.3% R Likely D (flip) Lean D (flip) Likely D (flip) Lean D (flip) Likely D (flip) Safe D (flip) Mike Levin (D)
California 50 R+11 Duncan D. Hunter (R) 63.5% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Duncan D. Hunter (R)
Colorado 3 R+6 Scott Tipton (R) 54.6% R Likely R Safe R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R Scott Tipton (R)
Colorado 6 D+2 Mike Coffman (R) 50.9% R Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Likely D (flip) Jason Crow (D)
Florida 6 R+7 (Vacant)[d] 58.6% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Michael Waltz (R)
Florida 7 EVEN Stephanie Murphy (D) 51.5% D Likely D Likely D Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Stephanie Murphy (D)
Florida 13 D+2 Charlie Crist (D) 51.9% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Charlie Crist (D)
Florida 15 R+6 Dennis A. Ross (R) (retiring) 57.5% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R Tossup Lean R Tossup Ross Spano (R)
Florida 16 R+7 Vern Buchanan (R) 59.8% R Lean R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R Vern Buchanan (R)
Florida 18 R+5 Brian Mast (R) 53.6% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Brian Mast (R)
Florida 25 R+4 Mario Díaz-Balart (R) 62.4% R Lean R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Mario Díaz-Balart (R)
Florida 26 D+6 Carlos Curbelo (R) 53.0% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Tossup Debbie Mucarsel-Powell (D)
Florida 27 D+5 Ileana Ros-Lehtinen (R) (retiring) 54.9% R Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Lean D (flip) Likely D (flip) Donna Shalala (D)
Georgia 6 R+8 Karen Handel (R) 51.8% R Tossup Lean R Lean R Tossup Lean R Tossup Lucy McBath (D)
Georgia 7 R+9 Rob Woodall (R) 60.4% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Rob Woodall (R)
Illinois 6 R+2 Peter Roskam (R) 59.2% R Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Sean Casten (D)
Illinois 12 R+5 Mike Bost (R) 54.3% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Mike Bost (R)
Illinois 13 R+3 Rodney Davis (R) 59.7% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Rodney Davis (R)
Illinois 14 R+5 Randy Hultgren (R) 59.3% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Lauren Underwood (D)
Indiana 2 R+11 Jackie Walorski (R) 59.3% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Jackie Walorski (R)
Indiana 9 R+13 Trey Hollingsworth (R) 54.1% R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Trey Hollingsworth (R)
Iowa 1 D+1 Rod Blum (R) 53.7% R Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Safe D (flip) Abby Finkenauer (D)
Iowa 2 D+1 Dave Loebsack (D) 53.7% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Dave Loebsack (D)
Iowa 3 R+1 David Young (R) 53.5% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Cindy Axne (D)
Iowa 4 R+11 Steve King (R) 61.2% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Likely R Likely R Steve King (R)
Kansas 2 R+10 Lynn Jenkins (R) (retiring) 60.9% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Steve Watkins (R)
Kansas 3 R+4 Kevin Yoder (R) 51.3% R Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Likely D (flip) Sharice Davids (D)
Kentucky 6 R+9 Andy Barr (R) 61.1% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Tossup Andy Barr (R)
Maine 2 R+2 Bruce Poliquin (R) 54.8% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Jared Golden (D)
Michigan 1 R+9 Jack Bergman (R) 54.9% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Jack Bergman (R)
Michigan 2 R+9 Bill Huizenga (R) 62.6% R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Likely R Bill Huizenga (R)
Michigan 3 R+6 Justin Amash (R) 59.5% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R Justin Amash (R)
Michigan 6 R+6 Fred Upton (R) 58.7% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Fred Upton (R
Michigan 7 R+7 Tim Walberg (R) 55.1% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Tossup Tim Walberg (R)
Michigan 8 R+4 Mike Bishop (R) 56.0% R Tossup Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Elissa Slotkin (D)
Michigan 11 R+4 Dave Trott (R) (retiring) 52.9% R Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Lean D (flip) Likely D (flip) Haley Stevens (D)
Minnesota 1 R+5 Tim Walz (D) (retiring) 50.3% D Tossup Tossup Lean D Tossup Tossup Tossup Jim Hagedorn (R)
Minnesota 2 R+2 Jason Lewis (R) 47.0% R Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Likely D (flip) Angie Craig (D)
Minnesota 3 D+1 Erik Paulsen (R) 56.7% R Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Likely D (flip) Dean Phillips (D)
Minnesota 7 R+12 Collin Peterson (D) 52.5% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Tossup Likely D Likely D Collin Peterson (D)
Minnesota 8 R+4 Rick Nolan (D) (retiring) 50.2% D Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Lean R (flip) Likely R (flip) Pete Stauber (R)
Missouri 2 R+8 Ann Wagner (R) 58.5% R Lean R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Ann Wagner (R)
Montana at-large R+11 Greg Gianforte (R) 49.9% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Tossup Lean R Likely R Greg Gianforte (R)
Nebraska 2 R+4 Don Bacon (R) 48.9% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Tossup Don Bacon (R)
Nevada 3 R+2 Jacky Rosen (D) (retiring) 47.2% D Lean D Tilt D Lean D Tossup Lean D Likely D Susie Lee (D)
Nevada 4 D+3 Ruben Kihuen (D) (retiring) 48.5% D Lean D Lean D Likely D Tossup Lean D Likely D Steven Horsford (D)
New Hampshire 1 R+2 Carol Shea-Porter (D) (retiring) 44.3% D Likely D Lean D Likely D Tossup Lean D Likely D Chris Pappas (D)
New Hampshire 2 D+2 Ann McLane Kuster (D) 49.8% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Ann McLane Kuster (D)
New Jersey 2 R+1 Frank LoBiondo (R) (retiring) 59.2% R Likely D (flip) Likely D (flip) Safe D (flip) Likely D (flip) Safe D (flip) Safe D (flip) Jeff Van Drew (D)
New Jersey 3 R+2 Tom MacArthur (R) 59.3% R Tossup Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Andy Kim (D)
New Jersey 4 R+8 Chris Smith (R) 63.7% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Chris Smith (R)
New Jersey 5 R+3 Josh Gottheimer (D) 51.1% D Likely D Safe D Likely D Likely D Likely D Safe D Josh Gottheimer (D)
New Jersey 7 R+3 Leonard Lance (R) 54.1% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Likely D (flip) Tom Malinowski (D)
New Jersey 11 R+3 Rodney Frelinghuysen (R) (retiring) 58.0% R Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Likely D (flip) Mikie Sherrill (D)
New Mexico 1 D+7 Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) (retiring) 65.1% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Deb Haaland (D)
New Mexico 2 R+6 Steve Pearce (R) (retiring) 62.7% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Xochitl Torres Small (D)
New York 1 R+5 Lee Zeldin (R) 58.2% R Likely R Safe R Lean R Lean R Likely R Likely R Lee Zeldin (R)
New York 2 R+3 Peter King (R) 57.2% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Safe R Lean R Peter King (R)
New York 3 D+1 Thomas Suozzi (D) 52.4% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Thomas Suozzi (D)
New York 11 R+3 Dan Donovan (R) 61.5% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Max Rose (D)
New York 18 R+1 Sean Patrick Maloney (D) 55.6% D Safe D Safe D Likely D Likely D Safe D Safe D Sean Patrick Maloney (D)
New York 19 R+2 John Faso (R) 54.0% R Tossup Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Antonio Delgado (D)
New York 21 R+4 Elise Stefanik (R) 61.6% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Elise Stefanik (R)
New York 22 R+6 Claudia Tenney (R) 46.5% R Tossup Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Anthony Brindisi (D)
New York 23 R+6 Tom Reed (R) 57.6% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Tom Reed (R)
New York 24 D+3 John Katko (R) 60.5% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Lean R Likely R John Katko (R)
New York 27 R+11 Chris Collins (R) 67.2% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Chris Collins (R)
North Carolina 2 R+7 George Holding (R) 56.7% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R George Holding (R)
North Carolina 6 R+9 Mark Walker (R) 59.2% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Mark Walker (R)
North Carolina 7 R+9 David Rouzer (R) 60.9% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R David Rouzer (R)
North Carolina 8 R+8 Richard Hudson (R) 58.8% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Richard Hudson (R)
North Carolina 9 R+8 Robert Pittenger (R) (lost renomination) 58.2% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Election voided.
North Carolina 13 R+6 Ted Budd (R) 56.1% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Ted Budd (R)
Ohio 1 R+5 Steve Chabot (R) 59.2% R Lean R Tilt R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Steve Chabot (R)
Ohio 7 R+12 Bob Gibbs (R) 64.0% R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Bob Gibbs (R)
Ohio 10 R+4 Mike Turner (R) 64.1% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Mike Turner (R)
Ohio 12 R+7 Troy Balderson (R) 50.1% R Tossup Tossup Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Troy Balderson (R)
Ohio 14 R+5 David Joyce (R) 62.6% R Likely R Likely R Lean R Likely R Likely R Likely R David Joyce (R)
Ohio 15 R+7 Steve Stivers (R) 66.2% R Safe R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R Steve Stivers (R)
Ohio 16 R+8 Jim Renacci (R) (retiring)[c] 65.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Anthony Gonzalez (R)
Oklahoma 5 R+10 Steve Russell (R) 57.1% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Kendra Horn (D)
Oregon 5 EVEN Kurt Schrader (D) 53.6% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Lean D Safe D Likely D Kurt Schrader (D)
Pennsylvania 1 R+1 Brian Fitzpatrick (R) – Tossup Tossup Lean R Tossup Tossup Tossup Brian Fitzpatrick (R)
Pennsylvania 5 D+13 (Vacant)[e] – Likely D (flip) Likely D (flip) Safe D (flip) Likely D (flip) Safe D (flip) Safe D (flip) Mary Gay Scanlon (D)
Pennsylvania 6 D+2 Ryan Costello (R) (retiring) – Likely D (flip) Likely D (flip) Safe D (flip) Likely D (flip) Safe D (flip) Safe D (flip) Chrissy Houlahan (D)
Pennsylvania 7 D+1 (Vacant)[f] – Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Safe D (flip) Susan Wild (D)
Pennsylvania 8 R+1 Matt Cartwright (D) – Likely D Lean D Likely D Likely D Likely D Safe D Matt Cartwright (D)
Pennsylvania 10 R+6 Scott Perry (R) – Tossup Lean R Lean R Tossup Lean R Lean R Scott Perry (R)
Pennsylvania 11 R+14 Lloyd Smucker (R) – Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Lloyd Smucker (R)
Pennsylvania 14 R+14 Conor Lamb (D) (running in 17th district) – Likely R (flip) Likely R (flip) Safe R (flip) Likely R (flip) Safe R (flip) Safe R (flip) Guy Reschenthaler (R)
Pennsylvania 16 R+8 Mike Kelly (R) – Lean R Likely R Lean R Tossup Lean R Likely R Mike Kelly (R)
Pennsylvania 17 R+3 Keith Rothfus (R) – Likely D (flip) Lean D (flip) Likely D (flip) Likely D (flip) Likely D (flip) Safe D (flip) Conor Lamb (D)
South Carolina 1 R+10 Mark Sanford (R) (lost renomination) 58.6% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Joe Cunningham (D)
Texas 2 R+11 Ted Poe (R) (retiring) 60.6% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R Dan Crenshaw (R)
Texas 6 R+9 Joe Barton (R) (retiring) 58.3% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Safe R Likely R Ron Wright (R)
Texas 7 R+7 John Culberson (R) 56.2% R Tossup Tilt R Lean R Tossup Tossup Tossup Lizzie Fletcher (D)
Texas 10 R+9 Michael McCaul (R) 57.3% R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Michael McCaul (R)
Texas 21 R+10 Lamar Smith (R) (retiring) 57.0% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Likely R Chip Roy (R)
Texas 22 R+10 Pete Olson (R) 59.5% R Lean R Safe R Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Pete Olson (R)
Texas 23 R+1 Will Hurd (R) 48.3% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Will Hurd (R)
Texas 24 R+9 Kenny Marchant (R) 56.2% R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Kenny Marchant (R)
Texas 25 R+11 Roger Williams (R) 58.3% R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Roger Williams (R)
Texas 31 R+10 John Carter (R) 58.4% R Likely R Likely R Likely R Safe R Likely R Likely R John Carter (R)
Texas 32 R+5 Pete Sessions (R) 71.1% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean R Colin Allred (D)
Utah 4 R+13 Mia Love (R) 53.8% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Ben McAdams (D)
Virginia 2 R+3 Scott Taylor (R) 61.3% R Tossup Tilt R Lean D (flip) Lean R Tossup Lean R Elaine Luria (D)
Virginia 5 R+6 Tom Garrett (R) (retiring) 58.2% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Tossup Lean R Tossup Denver Riggleman (R)
Virginia 7 R+6 Dave Brat (R) 57.5% R Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Tossup Abigail Spanberger (D)
Virginia 10 D+1 Barbara Comstock (R) 52.7% R Lean D (flip) Tilt D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Lean D (flip) Likely D (flip) Jennifer Wexton (D)
Washington 3 R+4 Jaime Herrera Beutler (R) 61.8% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Jaime Herrera Beutler (R)
Washington 5 R+8 Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R) 59.6% R Lean R Likely R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R)
Washington 8 EVEN Dave Reichert (R) (retiring) 60.2% R Lean D (flip) Tossup Lean D (flip) Tossup Tossup Lean D (flip) Kim Schrier (D)
West Virginia 2 R+17 Alex Mooney (R) 58.2% R Likely R Safe R Safe R Safe R Safe R Likely R Alex Mooney (R)
West Virginia 3 R+23 (Vacant)[g] 67.9% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Carol Miller (R)
Wisconsin 1 R+5 Paul Ryan (R) (retiring) 65.0% R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Lean R Likely R Bryan Steil (R)
Wisconsin 3 EVEN Ron Kind (D) 98.9% D Safe D Safe D Safe D Likely D Safe D Safe D Ron Kind (D)
Wisconsin 6 R+8 Glenn Grothman (R) 57.2% R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Likely R Safe R Glenn Grothman (R)
Overall D - 210
R - 194
30 tossups 		D - 214
R - 202
19 tossups 		D - 228
R - 207
0 tossups 		D - 203
R - 194
38 tossups 		D - 206
R - 199
30 tossups 		D - 220
R - 197
18 tossups 		D - 235
R - 199
1 voided

Generic ballot polls

The following is a list of generic party ballot polls conducted in advance of the 2018 House of Representatives elections.

Polling aggregates
Source of poll aggregation Date updated Dates polled Democratic Republican Lead
FiveThirtyEight[11] Nov 6, 2018 Until Nov 5, 2018 50.7% 42.0% +8.7%
RealClearPolitics[12] Nov 6, 2018 Oct 13, 2018 - Nov 3, 2018 49.7% 42.4% +7.3%
Average 50.2% 42.2% +8.0%

Notes

  1. ^ Not including the Resident Commissioner of Puerto Rico, who serves a four-year term.
  2. ^ Reflects the "Classic" version of the forecast model.
  3. ^ a b c Retired to run for senate
  4. ^ Ron DeSantis resigned in September 2018, seat remained vacant until the start of the next Congress
  5. ^ Pat Meehan (R) resigned in April, Mary Gay Scanlon (D) won a simultaneous special election to fill the remainder of Meehan's term.
  6. ^ Charlie Dent (R) resigned in May, Susan Wild (D) won a simultaneous special election to fill the remainder of Dent's term.
  7. ^ Evan Jenkins resigned in September 2018, seat remained vacant until the start of the next Congress

References

  1. ^ Wasserman, David; Flinn, Ally (April 11, 2018). "Introducing the 2017 Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index". Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
  2. ^ Wasserman, David (April 11, 2018). "New Pennsylvania Map Is a Major Boost for Democrats". Cook Political Report. Retrieved April 11, 2018.
  3. ^ "2016 House Election Results". Politico. December 13, 2016. Retrieved February 14, 2017.
  4. ^ "2018 House Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Retrieved October 30, 2018.
  5. ^ "2018 House Ratings". The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  6. ^ "2018 House". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  7. ^ "Battle for the House 2018". RCP. Retrieved November 5, 2018.
  8. ^ "Daily Kos Elections 2018 race ratings". Daily Kos. Retrieved November 5, 2018.[permanent dead link‍]
  9. ^ Silver, Nate (August 16, 2018). "2018 House Forecast". FiveThirtyEight. Retrieved November 6, 2018.
  10. ^ "House Election Results: Democrats Take Control". The New York Times. November 7, 2018. Retrieved November 7, 2018.
  11. ^ FiveThirtyEight
  12. ^ RealClearPolitics
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