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2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election

For related races, see 2014 United States gubernatorial elections.

2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election
← 2010 November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) 2018 →
 
Nominee Asa Hutchinson Mike Ross
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 470,429 352,115
Percentage 55.44% 41.49%
County results
Hutchinson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Ross:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Governor before election

Mike Beebe
Democratic

Elected Governor

Asa Hutchinson
Republican

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The 2014 Arkansas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Arkansas, concurrently with the election to Arkansas's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. This was the last time the Arkansas governor's changed partisan control.

Incumbent Democratic governor Mike Beebe was ineligible to run for re-election due to term limits established by the Arkansas Constitution. Arkansas is one of eight states that limits its governors to two terms for life.[1] Democrats nominated former U.S. representative Mike Ross and Republicans nominated former DEA Administrator, former U.S. representative and 2006 Arkansas gubernatorial nominee Asa Hutchinson.

Hutchinson won the general election by the largest margin recorded for a Republican in an open-seat gubernatorial race since Reconstruction. The race was called for Hutchinson roughly half an hour after the polls closed, his victory gave Republicans complete control of state government for the first time since 1874.

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

  • Lynette "Doc" Bryant, activist[3]

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Mike Ross

National political figures

Arkansas political figures

Business leaders

  • Abraham Carpenter Jr., owner and operator of Carpenter's Produce[19]
  • Jim Gaston, owner of Gaston's White River Resort, former Arkansas Business Executive of the Year and emeritus member of the Arkansas Parks & Tourism Commission[19]

Organizations

  • Arkansas Professional Fire Fighters Association[19]
  • Arkansas Timber Producers Association[19]
  • Central South Carpenters Regional Council[19]
  • Laborers International Union of North America[19]
  • Laborers Local 107[19]
  • Laborers Local 1282[19]
  • Southern States Millwright Regional Council[19]
  • Southwest Laborers District Council[19]

Polling

Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bill
Halter 		Mike
Ross 		Undecided
Clark Research[22] July 23–27, 2013 370 ± 5% 26% 40% 34%

Results

Results by county:
Ross
  •   >90%
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
Democratic primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Mike Ross 129,437 84.41
Democratic Lynette "Doc" Bryant 23,906 15.59
Total votes 153,343 100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Eliminated in primary

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Curtis Coleman

National politicians

Elected legislators

Local elected leaders

Organizations

  • Miller County Patriots[47]

Organization leaders

  • Bishop Robert E. Smith Sr., founder of Total Outreach for Christ Ministries, Inc. and Word of Outreach Christian Center[48]
  • Timothy Stephenson, founder of the EAST Initiative[49]
Asa Hutchinson

Federal legislators

State legislators

Local elected officials

  • Jerry Taylor, Democratic former state senator, state representative, and mayor of Pine Bluff[52]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Curtis
Coleman 		Asa
Hutchinson 		Undecided
Talk Business/Hendrix College[53] April 29, 2014 1,516 ± 2.5% 20% 70% 10%
Public Policy Polling[54] April 25–27, 2014 342 ± 5.3% 23% 62% 15%

Results

Results by county:
Hutchinson
  •   80–90%
  •   70–80%
  •   60–70%
  •   50–60%
Coleman
  •   50–60%
Republican primary results[23]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Asa Hutchinson 130,752 72.95
Republican Curtis Coleman 48,473 27.05
Total votes 179,225 100.00

Third parties

Candidates

Declared

Declined

General election

Debates

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[57] Lean R (flip) November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[58] Likely R (flip) November 3, 2014
Inside Elections[59] Lean R (flip) November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[60] Lean R (flip) November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mike
Ross (D) 		Asa
Hutchinson (R) 		Other Undecided
Opinion Research Associates[61] October 30–November 1, 2014 400 ± 5% 43% 39% 5%[62] 14%
Public Policy Polling[63] October 30–November 1, 2014 1,092 ± 3% 41% 51% 4%[64] 4%
44% 53% — 3%
Rasmussen Reports[65] October 27–29, 2014 967 ± 3% 43% 50% 3% 4%
Issues & Answers Network[66] October 21–27, 2014 568 ± 4.1% 39% 50% — 11%
Opinion Research Associates[67] October 25–26, 2014 401 ± 5% 44% 42% 2%[68] 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[69] October 16–23, 2014 1,567 ± 4% 38% 47% 0% 15%
NBC News/Marist[70] October 19–23, 2014 621 ± 3.9% 44% 47% 4%[71] 5%
971 ± 3.1% 44% 43% 5%[72] 8%
Hendrix Poll[73] October 15–16, 2014 2,075 ± 2.2% 41% 49% 5% 6%
Rasmussen Reports[65] October 13–15, 2014 940 ± 3% 47% 49% 1% 3%
Fox News[74] October 4–7, 2014 707 ± 3.5% 37% 46% 5%[75] 12%
Opinion Research Associates[76] October 1–5, 2014 400 ± 5% 45% 41% 3% 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[77] September 20–October 1, 2014 1,991 ± 2% 38% 49% 1% 12%
Rasmussen Reports[65] September 24–25, 2014 750 ± 4% 42% 46% 4% 8%
Suffolk[78] September 20–23, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 41% 43% 5%[79] 11%
Public Policy Polling[80] September 18–21, 2014 1,453 ± 2.6% 38% 44% 5%[79] 13%
40% 46% — 14%
Gravis Marketing[81] September 8–11, 2014 902 ± 4% 42% 46% 2%[82] 10%
Answers Unlimited[83] September 7–9, 2014 600 ± 3.5% 44% 44% 4%[64] 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[84] August 18–September 2, 2014 1,572 ± 3% 38% 45% 1% 15%
NBC News/Marist[85] September 2–4, 2014 639 LV ± 3.9% 39% 48% 6%[86] 7%
1,068 RV ± 3% 39% 46% 7%[87] 8%
Rasmussen Reports[65] August 25–26, 2014 750 ± 4% 46% 44% 3% 7%
Opinion Research Associates[88] August 6–14, 2014 414 ± 4.9% 44% 44% 3%[89] 9%
Public Policy Polling[90] August 1–3, 2014 1,066 ± 3% 38% 43% 7%[91] 12%
40% 46% — 14%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[92] July 22–25, 2014 1,780 ± 2.3% 41% 46% 6%[93] 7.5%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov[94] July 5–24, 2014 1,616 ± 3.5% 45% 48% 2% 4%
Gravis Marketing[95] July 7–8, 2014 987 ± 3% 46% 49% 5%[82] —
Public Opinion Strategies[96] May 27–29, 2014 500 ± 4.39% 42% 48% — 10%
Rasmussen Reports[65] May 27–28, 2014 750 ± 4% 41% 48% 4% 6%
NBC News/Marist[97] April 30–May 4, 2014 876 ± 3.3% 42% 49% 2% 7%
Public Policy Polling[54] April 25–27, 2014 840 ± 3.4% 38% 46% — 16%
New York Times/Kaiser Family[98] April 8–15, 2014 857 ± ? 40% 41% 4% 16%
Opinion Research Associates[99] April 1–8, 2014 400 ± 5% 45% 39% — 17%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[100] April 3–4, 2014 1,068 ± 3% 44% 43% 5%[79] 8%
Impact Management Group[101] February 10, 2014 1,202 ± 2.83% 42% 42% — 17%
Rasmussen Reports[65] February 4–5, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 44% 41% 3% 12%
Public Policy Polling[102] December 13–15, 2013 1,004 ± 3.1% 43% 44% — 14%
Impact Management Group[103] October 24, 2013 911 ± 3.2% 37% 40% — 23%
University of Arkansas[104] October 10–17, 2013 800 ± 3.5% 30% 32% — 38%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[105] October 8, 2013 603 ± 4.% 37% 41% — 22%
Harper Polling[106] August 4–5, 2013 587 ± 4.04% 38% 46% — 16%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[107] February 20, 2013 675 ± 3.8% 38% 43% — 19%
Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Lynette
Bryant (D) 		Asa
Hutchinson (R) 		Other Undecided
Talk Business/Hendrix College[100] April 3–4, 2014 1,068 ± 3% 27.5% 48% 8%[108] 17%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Bill
Halter (D) 		Asa
Hutchinson (R) 		Other Undecided
Talk Business/Hendrix College[107] February 20, 2013 675 ± 3.8% 31% 47% — 22%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Dustin
McDaniel (D) 		Asa
Hutchinson (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[109] January 10–13, 2013 600 ± 4.0% 33% 46% — 22%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Mike
Ross (D) 		Curtis
Coleman (R) 		Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling[54] April 25–27, 2014 840 ± 3.4% 43% 33% — 24%
Talk Business/Hendrix College[100] April 3–4, 2014 1,068 ± 3% 48% 30% 7%[110] 15%

Results

Arkansas gubernatorial election, 2014[111]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Asa Hutchinson 470,429 55.44% +21.81%
Democratic Mike Ross 352,115 41.49% −22.93%
Libertarian Frank Gilbert 16,319 1.92% N/A
Green Josh Drake 9,729 1.15% −0.71%
Total votes 848,592 100.00% N/A
Republican gain from Democratic

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

References

  1. ^ a b c Demillo, Andrew (December 5, 2011). "Coleman mulling 2014 bid for Ark. governor". RealClearPolitics. Archived from the original on January 8, 2012. Retrieved December 6, 2011.
  2. ^ "Mike Ross for governor: Rumours mount". Ark Times. February 22, 2013. Retrieved February 26, 2013.
  3. ^ "Election filings include Democratic gubernatorial candidate". Ark Times. February 28, 2013. Retrieved March 5, 2013.
  4. ^ "Bill Halter Withdraws from Governor's Race". July 29, 2013. Archived from the original on July 29, 2013. Retrieved July 29, 2013.
  5. ^ "Attorney General Dustin McDaniel dropping out of 2014 governor race". Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved January 25, 2013.
  6. ^ a b c d e f Lyon, John (January 27, 2013). "McDaniel's Departure Leaves Arkansas Governor's Race Wide Open". The Times Record. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013.
  7. ^ "Twitter / TolbertReport: By the way Shane Broadway tells". Twitter.com. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  8. ^ a b "Sources: John Burkhalter to Run for Lt. Governor". Fox16.com. June 11, 2013. Archived from the original on July 15, 2013. Retrieved June 15, 2013.
  9. ^ a b Brantley, Max (January 30, 2013). "McDaniel's farewell". Arkansas Times. Retrieved February 26, 2013.
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  14. ^ "Mike Malone, Executive Director". Retrieved February 5, 2013.
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  16. ^ Miller, Joshua (March 6, 2013). "Farm Team: Arkansas Has Deep Bench but Few Opportunities". Roll Call. Retrieved August 9, 2013.
  17. ^ Saylor, Ryan (February 13, 2013). "Paragould attorney mulls run for Attorney General". The City Wire. Archived from the original on March 3, 2013. Retrieved August 9, 2013.
  18. ^ "Cook: Bill Clinton To Headline Mike Ross Fundraiser". Talk Business Arkansas. April 6, 2014. Retrieved April 8, 2014.
  19. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae af ag ah ai aj ak al am an ao ap aq ar as "Complete List of Endorsements". Mike Ross. Archived from the original on September 25, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
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  27. ^ Brantley, Max (May 17, 2013). "Davy Carter won't make race for governor". Arkansas Times. Retrieved July 8, 2013.
  28. ^ Glueck, Katie (August 1, 2013). "Arkansas's Tom Cotton to run for U.S. Senate". Politico. Retrieved August 2, 2013.
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  39. ^ "Curtis Coleman Receives Legislative Endorsement from Rep. Randy Alexander | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. June 18, 2013. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  40. ^ "State Representative Farrer Stands With Curtis Coleman | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  41. ^ "Representative John Payton Endorses Curtis Coleman". Coleman For Arkansas. Archived from the original on 27 September 2013. Retrieved 24 September 2013.
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  44. ^ "Baxter County Assessor Endorses Coleman For Governor | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. April 23, 2013. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  45. ^ "Texarkana Mayor Wayne Smith Announces Gubernatorial Endorsement | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. April 16, 2013. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  46. ^ "Garland County Treasurer Endorses Coleman for Governor | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. June 26, 2013. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  47. ^ "Miller County Patriots Endorse Coleman for Governor". Coleman For Arkansas. Archived from the original on 27 September 2013. Retrieved 24 September 2013.
  48. ^ "Bishop Robert E. Smith Sr., Endorses Curtis Coleman For Governor | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. April 4, 2013. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
  49. ^ "Coleman Receives Major Education Endorsement | Coleman For Arkansas". Curtiscoleman.com. July 17, 2013. Archived from the original on September 26, 2013. Retrieved September 22, 2013.
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  57. ^ "2014 Governor Race Ratings for November 3, 2014". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved September 3, 2018.
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  61. ^ Opinion Research Associates
  62. ^ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  63. ^ Public Policy Polling
  64. ^ a b Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  65. ^ a b c d e f Rasmussen Reports
  66. ^ Issues & Answers Network
  67. ^ Opinion Research Associates
  68. ^ Josh Drake (G) 1%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%
  69. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  70. ^ NBC News/Marist
  71. ^ Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%, Other <1%
  72. ^ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 2%, Other <1%
  73. ^ Hendrix Poll
  74. ^ Fox News
  75. ^ Josh Drake (G) 1%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%, Other 1%
  76. ^ Opinion Research Associates Archived October 10, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  77. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  78. ^ Suffolk Archived September 25, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  79. ^ a b c Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  80. ^ Public Policy Polling
  81. ^ Gravis Marketing
  82. ^ a b Frank Gilbert (L)
  83. ^ Answers Unlimited
  84. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  85. ^ NBC News/Marist
  86. ^ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%, Other <1%
  87. ^ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4%, Other <1%
  88. ^ Opinion Research Associates
  89. ^ Josh Drake (G) 2%, Frank Gilbert (L) 1%
  90. ^ Public Policy Polling
  91. ^ Josh Drake (G) 4%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  92. ^ Talk Business/Hendrix College
  93. ^ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 3%
  94. ^ CBS News/NYT/YouGov
  95. ^ Gravis Marketing Archived July 21, 2014, at the Wayback Machine
  96. ^ Public Opinion Strategies
  97. ^ NBC News/Marist
  98. ^ New York Times/Kaiser Family
  99. ^ Opinion Research Associates
  100. ^ a b c Talk Business/Hendrix College
  101. ^ Impact Management Group
  102. ^ Public Policy Polling
  103. ^ Impact Management Group
  104. ^ University of Arkansas
  105. ^ Talk Business/Hendrix College
  106. ^ Harper Polling
  107. ^ a b Talk Business/Hendrix College
  108. ^ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 5%
  109. ^ Public Policy Polling
  110. ^ Josh Drake (G) 3%, Frank Gilbert (L) 4%
  111. ^ "November 4, 2014 General election and nonpartisan runoff election Official results". Arkansas Secretary of State. Retrieved November 23, 2014.

Official campaign websites (archived):

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