2016 United States Senate election in Washington
The 2016 United States Senate election in Washington was held November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Washington . Incumbent Democratic Senator Patty Murray ran for re-election to a fifth term,[ 1] and won by a significant margin, winning 59% of the vote, to Republican Chris Vance 's 41%.
The election took place concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election , as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections .
Under Washington's nonpartisan blanket primary law, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party. In the August 2 primary, voters had the choice to vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. The top two finishers—regardless of party—advance to the general election in November, even if a candidate manages to receive a majority of the votes cast in the primary election. California is the only other state with this system, a so-called "top two primary" (Louisiana has a similar "jungle primary", but there is no general election if one candidate receives 50% plus one vote of all votes cast in the primary).
As of 2024, this is the last time a Democrat running statewide for federal office has won Grays Harbor and Mason counties.
Primary election
Democratic Party
Declared
Thor Amundson[ 2]
Phil Cornell, retired communications technician[ 3]
Patty Murray , incumbent U.S. Senator
Mohammed Said[ 2]
Republican Party
Declared
Declined
Bill Bryant , Seattle Port Commissioner (running for governor )[ 5] [ 6]
Andy Hill , state senator[ 5]
Jaime Herrera Beutler , U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[ 7]
Steve Litzow , state senator (running for re-election)[ 5]
Rob McKenna , former attorney general of Washington and nominee for governor in 2012 [ 8]
Cathy McMorris Rodgers , U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[ 7]
Dave Reichert , U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[ 5] [ 9] [ 10]
Dino Rossi , former state senator, nominee for Governor of Washington in 2004 and 2008 , and nominee for U.S. Senate in 2010 [ 5]
Third party and independent candidates
Declared
Pano Churchill (Lincoln Caucus)[ 2]
Ted Cummings (independent)[ 2]
Zach Haller (independent)[ 2]
Chuck Jackson (independent)[ 2]
Donna Rae Lands (Conservative)[ 2]
Mike Luke (Libertarian)[ 2]
Jeremy Teuton (System Reboot)[ 2]
Alex Tsimerman (StandUpAmerica)[ 2]
Sam Wright (Human Rights)[ 2]
Results
Results by county: Murray—30–40%
Murray—40–50%
Murray—50–60%
Murray—60–70%
Vance—30–40%
Vance—40–50%
General election
Debates
Predictions
Polling
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Patty Murray (D)
Chris Vance (R)
Other
Undecided
SurveyMonkey [ 19]
November 1–7, 2016
1,451
± 4.6%
59%
37%
—
4%
Insights West [ 20]
November 4–6, 2016
402
± 4.9%
53%
37%
—
11%
SurveyMonkey [ 21]
October 31–November 6, 2016
1,292
± 4.6%
59%
37%
—
4%
SurveyMonkey [ 22]
October 28–November 3, 2016
944
± 4.6%
61%
36%
—
3%
SurveyUSA [ 23]
October 31–November 2, 2016
667
± 3.9%
53%
41%
—
6%
SurveyMonkey [ 24]
October 27–November 2, 2016
807
± 4.6%
61%
36%
—
3%
SurveyMonkey [ 25]
October 26–November 1, 2016
698
± 4.6%
61%
36%
—
3%
SurveyMonkey [ 26]
October 25–31, 2016
745
± 4.6%
61%
36%
—
3%
Elway Poll [ 27]
October 20–22, 2016
502
± 4.5%
58%
34%
—
8%
KCTS 9 /YouGov [ 28]
October 6–13, 2016
750
± 4.4%
55%
39%
—
16%
Strategies 360 /KOMO News [ 29]
September 29–October 3, 2016
500
± 4.4%
57%
36%
—
6%
Emerson College [ 30]
September 25–26, 2016
700
± 3.6%
48%
41%
3%
8%
Insights West [ 31]
September 12–14, 2016
505
± 4.4%
46%
25%
2%
27%
Elway Poll [ 32]
August 9–13, 2016
500
± 4.5%
52%
34%
—
14%
Elway Poll [ 33]
April 14–17, 2016
503
± 3.5%
50%
32%
—
18%
Elway Poll [ 34]
October 13–15, 2015
500
± 4.5%
44%
23%
—
33%
Hypothetical polling
with Rob McKenna
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Patty Murray (D)
Rob McKenna (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [ 35]
May 14–17, 2015
879
± 3.3%
46%
41%
12%
with Dave Reichert
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Patty Murray (D)
Dave Reichert (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [ 35]
May 14–17, 2015
879
± 3.3%
48%
37%
15%
with Jaime Herrera Beutler
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Patty Murray (D)
Jaime Herrera Beutler (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [ 35]
May 14–17, 2015
879
± 3.3%
47%
37%
17%
with Cathy McMorris Rodgers
Poll source
Date(s) administered
Sample size
Margin of error
Patty Murray (D)
Cathy McMorris Rodgers (R)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling [ 35]
May 14–17, 2015
879
± 3.3%
48%
35%
17%
Results
At 1,913,979 votes, Murray made history by receiving the most votes in a United States Senate election in Washington state .
Counties that flipped from Republican to Democratic
By congressional district
Murray won 7 of 10 congressional districts, including one that elected a Republican.[ 38]
See also
References
^ Brunner, Jim (February 9, 2014). "Patty Murray to seek fifth Senate term in 2016" . The Seattle Times. Retrieved October 16, 2014 .
^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n Camden, Jim (May 23, 2016). "Final list of candidates in the August primary" . The Spokesman-Review . Retrieved May 24, 2016 .
^ http://www.philcornell4ussenate.org Archived May 17, 2016, at the Wayback Machine Phil Cornell (D) for Senate
^ Pathé, Simone (September 8, 2015). "Former Washington GOP Chairman to Challenge Patty Murray" . Roll Call . Archived from the original on October 26, 2015. Retrieved September 8, 2015 .
^ a b c d e Pathe, Simone (May 8, 2015). "GOP Searches for Patty Murray Challenger" . Roll Call . Archived from the original on May 9, 2015. Retrieved May 8, 2015 .
^ Brunner, Jim (May 14, 2015). "Port Commissioner Bill Bryant announces run for governor" . The Seattle Times . Retrieved May 14, 2015 .
^ a b "Washington Voters Grow Further In Support of Gay Marriage, Marijuana, Background Checks" (PDF) (Press release). Public Policy Polling . May 20, 2015. Retrieved February 19, 2016 .
^ Rosenthal, Brian (February 19, 2013). "Former AG McKenna joins law firm" . Yakima Herald . Retrieved March 4, 2013 .
^ Joseph, Cameron (August 9, 2013). "Rep. Reichert 'thinking about' run for Senate, governor in Washington" . The Hill . Retrieved October 16, 2014 .
^ Brunner, Jim (October 16, 2015). "Dave Reichert won't run against Jay Inslee for governor" . The Seattle Times. Retrieved November 1, 2015 .
^ "August 2, 2016 Primary Results - U.S. Senator" . Washington Secretary of State. Archived from the original on August 22, 2016. Retrieved August 22, 2016 .
^ Full debate - C-SPAN
^ Full debate - C-SPAN
^ "2016 Senate Race Ratings for November 2, 2016" . The Cook Political Report . Retrieved March 26, 2021 .
^ "2016 Senate" . Sabato's Crystal Ball . Retrieved September 19, 2016 .
^ "2016 Senate Ratings" . Senate Ratings . The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 3, 2016 .
^ "Daily Kos Election 2016 forecast: The final version" . Daily Kos . Retrieved March 27, 2021 .
^ "Battle for the Senate 2016" . Real Clear Politics. Retrieved October 28, 2016 .
^ SurveyMonkey
^ Insights West [usurped]
^ SurveyMonkey
^ SurveyMonkey
^ SurveyUSA
^ SurveyMonkey
^ SurveyMonkey
^ SurveyMonkey
^ Elway Poll
^ KCTS 9/YouGov Archived October 27, 2016, at the Wayback Machine
^ Strategies 360/KOMO News
^ Emerson College
^ Insights West [usurped]
^ Elway Poll
^ Elway Poll
^ Elway Poll
^ a b c d Public Policy Polling
^ "November 8, 2016 General Election Results (Washington)" . Washington Secretary of State. Retrieved February 25, 2021 .
^ https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/state.php?fips=53&year=2016&f=0&off=3&class=3
^ Results (PDF) . wei.sos.wa.gov (Report). Archived from the original (PDF) on June 30, 2018.
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