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2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota

2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota
← 2010 November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) 2014 →
All 8 Minnesota seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Last election 4 4
Seats won 5 3
Seat change Increase 1 Decrease 1
Popular vote 1,560,984 1,210,409
Percentage 55.48% 43.02%
Swing Increase 7.55% Decrease 3.41%
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2012
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The 2012 United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota were held on Tuesday, November 6, 2012, to elect the eight U.S. representatives from the state of Minnesota. The elections coincided with the elections of other federal and state offices, including a quadrennial presidential election and an election to the U.S. Senate. Primary elections were held on August 14, 2012.[1]

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in Minnesota, 2012[2]
Party Votes Percentage Seats before Seats after +/–
Democratic-Farmer-Labor 1,560,984 55.48% 4 5 +1
Republican 1,210,409 43.02% 4 3 -1
Independence 36,433 1.29% 0 0 0
Others 5,557 0.20% 0 0 0
Totals 2,813,383 100.00% 8 8 —

Redistricting

A redistricting plan was proposed by Republicans in the Minnesota Legislature on May 9, 2011.[3] The plan was passed by the Minnesota House of Representatives on May 13[4] and the Minnesota Senate on May 18,[5] but was vetoed by Democratic Governor Mark Dayton on May 19.[6]

In February 2012, a state court panel redrew Minnesota's congressional boundaries with the effect of enacting a "least-change" map.[7]

District 1

2012 Minnesota's 1st congressional district election
← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Tim Walz Allen Quist
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Popular vote 193,211 142,164
Percentage 57.5% 42.3%
Precinct results
Walz:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Quist:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Tim Walz
Democratic (DFL)

Elected U.S. Representative

Tim Walz
Democratic (DFL)

Democrat Tim Walz, who had represented Minnesota's 1st congressional district since 2007, sought re-election. In redistricting, Murray County, Pipestone County and half of Cottonwood County were moved from the 1st district to the 7th, and Wabasha County was moved from the 1st district to the 2nd, while Le Sueur County and most of Rice County were moved from the 2nd district to the 1st. The 1st district was expected to continue to slightly favor Republicans.[7]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Democratic primary results [8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Tim Walz (incumbent) 15,697 100.0
Total votes 15,697 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
Declined

Results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Allen Quist 12,540 54.1
Republican Mike Parry 10,622 45.9
Total votes 23,162 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Tim Walz (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Allen Quist (R)

Organizations

Results

Walz handily dispatched Quist in the election, garnering 58% of the vote.[29]

Minnesota's 1st congressional district, 2012 [30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Tim Walz (incumbent) 193,211 57.5
Republican Allen Quist 142,164 42.3
Write-in 505 0.2
Total votes 335,880 100.00
Democratic (DFL) hold

District 2

2012 Minnesota's 2nd congressional district election
← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee John Kline Mike Obermueller
Party Republican Democratic (DFL)
Popular vote 193,587 164,338
Percentage 54.0% 45.9%
Precinct results
Kline:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
Obermueller:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

John Kline
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

John Kline
Republican

Republican John Kline, who had represented Minnesota's 2nd congressional district since 2003, sought re-election.

In redistricting, Le Sueur County and Rice County were moved from the 2nd district to the 1st, and Carver County was moved from the 2nd district to the 3rd and 6th, while West St. Paul and parts of South St. Paul were moved from the 4th district to the 2nd. The 2nd district was made slightly more favorable to Democrats, but continues to favor Republicans.[7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • David Gerson

Results

Republican primary election[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Kline (incumbent) 15,859 85.1
Republican David Gerson 2,772 14.9
Total votes 18,631 100.0

Democratic primary

Patrick Ganey, a member of the Northfield City Council;[31] Kathleen Gaylord, a member of the Dakota County Commission;[32] former state Representative Mike Obermueller;[33] and Dan Powers, a former small business owner who unsuccessfully sought the DFL nomination in the 2nd district in 2010,[34] sought the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party nomination to challenge Kline. At the congressional district convention, the party endorsed Mike Obermueller.

Candidates

Nominee
  • Mike Obermueller, former state representative from legislative district 38B (2009–2011)
Withdrawn
  • Patrick Ganey, Northfield City Council member
  • Kathleen Gaylord, Dakota County Commission member
  • Dan Powers, former small business owner candidate for this seat in 2010

Results

Democratic primary results [8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Mike Obermueller 11,628 100.0
Total votes 11,628 100.0

General election

Endorsements

John Kline (R)

Organizations

Mike Obermueller (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		John
Kline (R) 		Mike
Obermueller (D) 		Undecided
SurveyUSA[36] October 17–18, 2012 565 ±4.2% 49% 41% 11%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[37] Likely R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[38] Safe R November 2, 2012
Roll Call[39] Likely R November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] Likely R November 5, 2012
NY Times[41] Lean R November 4, 2012
RCP[42] Safe R November 4, 2012
The Hill[43] Likely R November 4, 2012

Results

Despite a strong challenge from Obermueller, Kline prevailed.[44]

Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, 2012 [30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Kline (incumbent) 193,587 54.0
Democratic (DFL) Mike Obermueller 164,338 45.9
Write-in 521 0.1
Total votes 358,446 100.0
Republican hold

District 3

2012 Minnesota's 3rd congressional district election
← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Erik Paulsen Brian Barnes
Party Republican Democratic (DFL)
Popular vote 222,335 159,937
Percentage 58.1% 41.8%
Precinct results
Paulsen:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
Barnes:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Erik Paulsen
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Erik Paulsen
Republican

Republican Erik Paulsen, who had represented Minnesota's 3rd congressional district since 2009 sought re-election.

In redistricting, the 3rd district was expanded to include eastern Carver County, while part of the northeastern Minneapolis–Saint Paul metro area was moved to the 5th. The district was made more favorable to Republicans.

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • John W. Howard III

Results

Republican primary election[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Erik Paulsen (incumbent) 18,672 90.2
Republican John W. Howard III 2,032 9.8
Total votes 20,704 100.0

Democratic primary

Brian Barnes, an Edina businessman and former Navy Reserve officer[45] and Sharon Sund, a Plymouth scientist and small-business owner[46] sought the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party nomination to challenge Paulsen. In the third district Democratic convention, Barnes won the party endorsement and Sund backed his candidacy.[47] Sund was subsequently elected Chair of the Hennepin County Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party.[48]

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Results

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Brian Barnes 11,786 100.0
Total votes 11,786 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Erik Paulsen (R)

Organizations

Brian Barnes (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

Minnesota's 3rd congressional district, 2012 [30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Erik Paulsen (incumbent) 222,335 58.1
Democratic (DFL) Brian Barnes 159,937 41.8
Write-in 433 0.1
Total votes 382,705 100.0
Republican hold

Paulsen received 58% of the vote, defeating Barnes who received 42%.[50][51]

District 4

2012 Minnesota's 4th congressional district election
← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Betty McCollum Tony Hernandez Steve Carlson
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican Independence
Popular vote 216,685 109,659 21,135
Percentage 62.3% 31.5% 6.1%
Precinct results
McCollum:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%
Hernandez:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%
Tie:      50%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Betty McCollum
Democratic (DFL)

Elected U.S. Representative

Betty McCollum
Democratic (DFL)

Democrat Betty McCollum, who had represented Minnesota's 4th congressional district since 2001, sought re-election. In redistricting, the 4th district was made slightly more favorable to Republicans, but continues to strongly favor Democrats.[7]

The home of Republican U.S. Representative Michele Bachmann, who had represented Minnesota's 6th congressional district since 2007, was drawn into the 4th district in redistricting; however, Bachmann sought re-election in the 6th district.[7]

McCollum retained her seat, defeating Hernandez.[50]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Diana Longrie, former Mayor of Maplewood (2005–2009)
  • Brian Stalboerger

Results

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Betty McCollum (incumbent) 27,291 84.2
Democratic (DFL) Diana Longrie 3,212 9.9
Democratic (DFL) Brian Stalboerger 1,913 5.9
Total votes 32,416 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Tony Hernandez, businessman and candidate for Senate in 2012[52][53]
Eliminated in primary
Withdrawn
  • Dan Flood, retired Navy officer
Declined

Results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Tony Hernandez 6,876 64.1
Republican Ron Seiford 3,856 35.9
Total votes 10,732 100.0

Independence primary

Candidates

  • Steve Carlson

Results

Independence primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independence Steve Carlson 545 100.0
Total votes 545 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Betty McCollum (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Tony Hernandez (R)

Organizations

Results

Minnesota's 4th congressional district, 2012 [30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Betty McCollum (incumbent) 216,685 62.3
Republican Tony Hernandez 109,659 31.5
Independence Steve Carlson 21,135 6.1
Write-in 512 0.1
Total votes 347,991 100.0
Democratic (DFL) hold

District 5

2012 Minnesota's 5th congressional district election
← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Keith Ellison Chris Fields
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Popular vote 262,102 88,753
Percentage 74.5% 25.2%
Precinct results
Ellison:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Fields:      50–60%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Keith Ellison
Democratic (DFL)

Elected U.S. Representative

Keith Ellison
Democratic (DFL)

Minnesota's 5th congressional district has been represented by Democrat Keith Ellison since 2007. Gary Boisclair, an anti-abortion activist, and Gregg Iverson unsuccessfully challenged Ellison in the Democratic primary.[58] In redistricting, the 5th district was expanded to include parts of Brooklyn Center, Edina and Minnetonka, and continued to strongly favor Democrats.[7]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Gary Boisclair, anti-abortion activist
  • Gregg A. Iverson

Results

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Keith Ellison (incumbent) 30,609 89.6
Democratic (DFL) Gregg A. Iverson 2,143 6.3
Democratic (DFL) Gary Boisclair 1,397 4.1
Total votes 34,149 100.0

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chris Fields 5,966 100.0
Total votes 5,966 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Keith Ellison (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Chris Fields (R)

Organizations

Results

Ellison easily defeated Fields, carrying about 75% of the vote.[62]

Minnesota's 5th congressional district, 2012 [30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Keith Ellison (incumbent) 262,102 74.5
Republican Chris Fields 88,753 25.2
Write-in 1,114 0.3
Total votes 351,969 100.0
Democratic (DFL) hold

District 6

2012 Minnesota's 6th congressional district election
← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Michele Bachmann Jim Graves
Party Republican Democratic (DFL)
Popular vote 179,240 174,944
Percentage 50.5% 49.3%
Precinct results
Bachmann:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      >90%
Graves:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Michele Bachmann
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Michele Bachmann
Republican

Michele Bachmann, who had represented Minnesota's 6th congressional district since 2007 and unsuccessfully sought the Republican presidential nomination in 2012,[63] sought re-election.[64]

In redistricting, the 6th district was expanded to include Carver County and was made more favorable to Republicans.[7]

Republican primary

Ron Seiford, an adjunct business instructor at Woodbury's Globe College,[65] and Aubrey Immelman unsuccessfully challenged her in the Republican nomination, though Bachmann won by the lowest margin of any incumbent Republican congressional candidate in 50 years.[53][66][67]

Candidates

Nominee
Eliminated in primary
  • Aubrey Immelman, candidate for this seat in 2008
  • Stephen Thompson
Withdrawn

Results

Republican primary results [8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michele Bachmann (incumbent) 14,569 80.3
Republican Stephen Thompson 2,322 12.8
Republican Aubrey Immelman 1,242 6.9
Total votes 18,133 100.0

Democratic primary

Jim Graves, a hotel executive,[68] won the Democratic-Farmer-Labor Party nomination at the party's convention in April 2012.[47]

Candidates

Nominee
Withdrawn

Results

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Jim Graves 8,600 100.0
Total votes 8,600 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Michele Bachmann (R)

Organizations

Jim Graves (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Debates

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Michele
Bachmann (R) 		Jim
Graves (D) 		Undecided
Pulse Opinion Research[74] October 16, 2012 1,000 ±3.0% 51% 45% 6%
SurveyUSA[75] October 9–11, 2012 598 ±4.1% 50% 41% 9%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research Graves (D)[76] October 4–5, 2012 403 ±4.9% 47% 45% 7%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research Graves (D)[77] August 29–30, 2012 401 ±?% 48% 46% 6%
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research Graves (D)[78] June 12–14, 2012 505 ±4.4% 48% 43% 9%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Lean R November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[38] Lean R November 2, 2012
Roll Call[39] Lean R November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] Likely R November 5, 2012
NY Times[41] Safe R November 4, 2012
RCP[42] Lean R November 4, 2012
The Hill[43] Lean R November 4, 2012

Results

Bachmann narrowly retained the seat, receiving 4,298 more votes than Graves.[79]

Minnesota's 6th congressional district, 2012 [30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Michele Bachmann (incumbent) 179,240 50.5
Democratic (DFL) Jim Graves 174,944 49.3
Write-in 969 0.2
Total votes 355,153 100.0
Republican hold

District 7

2012 Minnesota's 7th congressional district election
← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Collin Peterson Lee Byberg
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Popular vote 197,791 114,151
Percentage 60.4% 34.8%
Precinct results
Peterson:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Byberg:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Collin Peterson
Democratic (DFL)

Elected U.S. Representative

Collin Peterson
Democratic (DFL)

Democrat Collin Peterson, who had represented Minnesota's 7th congressional district since 1991, sought re-election.[80] In redistricting, the 7th district was expanded to include rural counties in southern Minnesota, while cities were moved from the 6th and 8th districts into the 7th.[7]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Lee Byberg, business executive and nominee for this seat in 2010[81]
Withdrawn

General election

Endorsements

Collin Peterson (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Lee Byberg (R)

Organizations

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Safe D November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[38] Safe D November 2, 2012
Roll Call[39] Safe D November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] Safe D November 5, 2012
NY Times[41] Safe D November 4, 2012
RCP[42] Safe D November 4, 2012
The Hill[43] Likely D November 4, 2012

Results

Minnesota's 7th congressional district, 2012 [30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Collin C. Peterson (incumbent) 197,791 60.4
Republican Lee Byberg 114,151 34.8
Independence Adam Steele 15,298 4.7
Write-in 336 0.1
Total votes 327,576 100.0
Democratic (DFL) hold

District 8

2012 Minnesota's 8th congressional district election
← 2010
2014 →
 
Nominee Rick Nolan Chip Cravaack
Party Democratic (DFL) Republican
Popular vote 191,976 160,520
Percentage 54.3% 45.4%
Precinct results
Nolan:      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Cravaack:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No votes
U.S. Representative before election

Chip Cravaack
Republican

Elected U.S. Representative

Rick Nolan
Democratic (DFL)

Republican Chip Cravaack, who was first elected to represent Minnesota's 8th congressional district in 2010, sought re-election.

In redistricting, the 8th district was not significantly changed and remained competitive.[7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Nominee

Results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Chip Cravaack (incumbent) 20,471 100.0
Total votes 20,471 100.0

Democratic primary

Candidates

Nominee
  • Richard Nolan, former U.S. Representative from Minnesota's 6th congressional district (1975–1981)[83][53]
Eliminated in primary
  • Jeff Anderson, former Duluth City Councilor (2007–2011)[84]
  • Tarryl Clark, former state senator from senate district 15 (2006–2011) and nominee for the 6th district in 2010[85]
Withdrawn
Declined

Campaign

Nolan was victorious in a February 2012 caucus, receiving 1,537 votes to Anderson's 1,008 and Clark's 408. 269 uncommitted votes were cast.

Delegates to a convention held in May 2012 could endorse one candidate, but candidates who did not receive the party's endorsement were nonetheless able to run in the August 2012 primary.[93]

Endorsements

Tarryl Clark

Labor unions

Organizations

Results

Democratic primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Richard Nolan 20,840 38.3
Democratic (DFL) Tarryl L. Clark 17,554 32.2
Democratic (DFL) Jeff Anderson 16,035 29.5
Total votes 54,429 100.0

General election

Endorsements

Chip Cravaack (R)

Organizations

Rick Nolan (D)

Labor unions

Organizations

Debates

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size 		Margin of
error 		Chip
Cravaack (R) 		Rick
Nolan (D) 		Undecided
SurveyUSA[98] November 1–3, 2012 585 ±4.1% 45% 47% 8%
Public Policy Polling[99] October 25–26, 2012 1,020 ±3.8% 44% 48% 8%
OnMessage (R-Cravaack)[100] October 24–25, 2012 400 ±4.9% 50% 40% 10%
Pulse Opinion Research[101] October 16, 2012 1,000 ±3.0% 43% 50% 7%
Victoria Research (D-Nolan)[102] October 7–8, 2012 400 ±4.9% 44% 48% 8%
Global Strategy (D-DCCC)[103] October 4–7, 2012 405 ±4.9% 42% 42% 16%
SurveyUSA[104] September 6–9, 2012 578 ±4.3% 45% 46% 9%
GBA Strategies (D-House Majority PAC)[105] August 26–27, 2012 400 ±4.9% 44% 47% 9%
Global Strategy (D-DCCC)[106] August 21–29, 2012 400 ±4.9% 44% 45% 11%

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report Tossup November 5, 2012
Rothenberg[38] Tossup November 2, 2012
Roll Call[39] Tossup November 4, 2012
Sabato's Crystal Ball[40] Lean D (flip) November 5, 2012
NY Times[41] Tossup November 4, 2012
RCP[42] Tossup November 4, 2012
The Hill[43] Tossup November 4, 2012

Results

Nolan triumphed over Cravaack, receiving 54% of the vote.[107]

Minnesota's 8th congressional district, 2012 [30]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic (DFL) Rick Nolan 191,976 54.3
Republican Chip Cravaack (incumbent) 160,520 45.4
Write-in 1,167 0.3
Total votes 353,663 100.0
Democratic (DFL) gain from Republican

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