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2024 United States presidential election in Ohio

Main article: 2024 United States presidential election
2024 United States presidential election in Ohio
← 2020 November 5, 2024 2028 →
 
Nominee Donald Trump Kamala Harris
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida California
Running mate JD Vance Tim Walz
Electoral vote 17 0
Popular vote 3,180,116 2,533,699
Percentage 55.14% 43.93%
President before election

Joe Biden
Democratic

Elected President

Donald Trump
Republican

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Mayoral elections

The 2024 United States presidential election in Ohio was held on Tuesday, November 5, 2024, as part of the 2024 United States presidential election in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia participated. Ohio voters chose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. Ohio had 17 electoral votes in the Electoral College, following reapportionment due to the 2020 United States census in which the state lost a seat.[1]

Republican Donald Trump ultimately won Ohio for the third straight election, defeating Democrat Kamala Harris by 11.21%, the widest presidential margin of victory in the state since fellow Republican Ronald Reagan's 18.76% in 1984. Prior to the election, all major news organizations considered Ohio a state Trump would once again win, or a likely red state. A former bellwether state, Ohio has not been won by a Democrat at the presidential level since fellow Midwesterner Barack Obama did in 2012 and since then has been trending towards the GOP, with the state nowadays being moderately to strongly Republican and Trump's 2024 statewide victory being the first double-digit win at the presidential level for Ohio since Republican George H.W. Bush's 10.85% in 1988.

Primary elections

Democratic primary

Main article: 2024 Ohio Democratic presidential primary

The Ohio Democratic primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside the Arizona, Illinois, and Kansas primaries.

Ohio Democratic primary, March 19, 2024[2]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Joe Biden (incumbent) 461,558 87.06% 124
Dean Phillips (withdrawn) 68,629 12.94% 3
Total: 530,187 100.00% 127 16 133


Republican primary

Main article: 2024 Ohio Republican presidential primary

The Ohio Republican primary was held on March 19, 2024, alongside primaries in Arizona, Florida, and Illinois.

Ohio Republican primary, March 19, 2024[3]
Candidate Votes Percentage Actual delegate count
Bound Unbound Total
Donald Trump 896,059 79.21% 79 79
Nikki Haley (withdrawn) 162,563 14.37%
Ron DeSantis (withdrawn) 38,089 3.37%
Chris Christie (withdrawn) 20,027 1.77%
Vivek Ramaswamy (withdrawn) 14,450 1.28%
Total: 1,131,188 100.00% 79 79

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[4] Solid R December 19, 2023
Inside Elections[5] Likely R April 26, 2023
Sabato's Crystal Ball[6] Safe R June 13, 2024
Decision Desk HQ/The Hill[7] Likely R December 14, 2023
CNalysis[8] Likely R November 4, 2024
CNN[9] Solid R January 14, 2024
The Economist[10] Safe R November 1, 2024
538[11] Likely R June 11, 2024
NBC News[12] Safe R October 6, 2024
YouGov[13] Safe R November 1, 2024
Split Ticket[14] Likely R November 1, 2024

Democratic ballot access controversy

Due to the Democratic National Convention taking place on August 19, 2024, which occurs more than a week after the August 7 deadline to certify a presidential candidate for office, under ordinary rules, the eventual Democratic nominee would be disqualified from the ballot.[15][16] Efforts to create an emergency fix had stalled in the Ohio Legislature. The state House adjourned without considering a fix on May 8.[17] On May 21, Ohio Secretary of State Frank LaRose provided an update confirming that efforts to rectify the situation were at an impasse, as the state legislature would not take up the issue and the Ohio Democratic Party had offered no "legally acceptable remedy" up to that point. He further clarified that if the party does not work toward a solution themselves, their presidential nominee will not be listed on the November ballot.[18]

On May 23, Governor Mike DeWine called for a special legislative session and tasked lawmakers with ensuring Biden's inclusion on the ballot. Republican leaders in the state Senate, with DeWine's support, hope to pass a bill that will tie solving the ballot access issue to a ban on foreign contributions toward ballot measure efforts in the state. Ohio Democratic Party chair Elizabeth Walters and state House minority leader Allison Russo have signaled their opposition to the ban, which has been described as a poison pill amendment; a spokesperson for DeWine later said that a bill dealing only with the ballot access issue could also be considered.[19]

After the state legislature appeared unable to address the issue, the Democratic Party announced on May 28 that a virtual roll call nomination, similar to the process used by the party in 2020, would take place two weeks before the 2024 Democratic National Convention to nominate Biden and meet Ohio's deadline.[20] Nonetheless, the Ohio legislature passed a bill on June 1 extending the deadline to August 23,[21] which DeWine signed on June 2.[22] However, because the law did not take effect until September 1, Democrats continued with the roll call to meet the original deadline.[23]

Green Party ballot access controversy

Green Party nominee Jill Stein also appeared on the ballot, though votes for her did not count due to her nominating a running mate after the state deadline. Citing the law that allowed Joe Biden to be nominated, the Green Party attempted to use this exact ruling in their favor to swap VP candidates. However, VP candidate Anita Rios testified in federal court that she did not sign the withdraw form and that someone unknown to the Stein campaign submitted a forgery of her signature. The Green Party argued that the Secretary of State should have never accepted the withdraw letter, saying the signature of Rios was a PDF copy from her 2014 governorship candidacy paperwork.[24] The Stein campaign stated that a letter to the Ohio Secretary of State requesting removal from the ballot was "fraudulent".[25]

A hearing to restore ballot access for Stein was scheduled for October 22, in which the federal courts abstained from making a ruling on the case. The Stein campaign and the Ohio Green Party announced that they will continue the lawsuit to make the votes for Stein-Rios in Ohio count.[26]

Polling

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris

Aggregate polls

Source of poll
aggregation 		Dates
administered 		Dates
updated 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Other /
Undecided
[a] 		Margin
270ToWin October 22 – November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 44.3% 52.0% 3.7% Trump +7.7%
538 through November 4, 2024 November 4, 2024 43.4% 52.3% 4.3% Trump +8.8%
The Hill/DDHQ through November 3, 2024 November 3, 2024 44.6% 52.2% 3.2% Trump +7.6%
Average 44.1% 52.2% 3.7% Trump +8.1%
Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[27] November 3–4, 2024 1,022 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 45% 1%
Trafalgar Group (R)[28] November 2–4, 2024 1,095 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 45% 3%[c]
Emerson College[29][A] October 30 − November 2, 2024 900 (LV) ± 3.2% 54% 42% 4%[d]
54.7%[e] 43.5% 1.9%
Morning Consult[30] October 23 − November 1, 2024 1,254 (LV) ± 3.0% 53% 44% 3%
Trafalgar Group (R)[31][B] October 25–28, 2024 1,127 (LV) ± 2.9% 52% 46% 2%[f]
ActiVote[32] October 5−28, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46% –
CES/YouGov[33] October 1–25, 2024 3,120 (A) – 52% 45% 3%
3,091 (LV) 52% 45% 3%
J.L. Partners[34] October 22−24, 2024 997 (LV) ± 3.1% 53% 44% 3%
University of Akron[35] September 12 – October 24, 2024 1,241 (RV) ± 2.8% 51% 44% 5%
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[36] October 10−21, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.6% 50% 43% 5%[g]
Morning Consult[30] October 6−15, 2024 1,243 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 45% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[37][C] October 9−14, 2024 1,051 (LV) ± 3.0% 51% 44% 5%[c]
Washington Post[38] October 3–7, 2024 1,002 (RV) ± 3.5% 51% 44% 5%[h]
1,002 (LV) 51% 45% 4%[i]
Marist College[39] October 3–7, 2024 1,511 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 46% 2%[j]
1,327 (LV) ± 3.2% 52% 46% 2%[j]
ActiVote[40] August 28 – September 30, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 54% 46% –
Bowling Green State University/YouGov[41] September 18–27, 2024 1,000 (LV) ± 3.6% 51% 44% 5%[k]
New York Times/Siena College[42] September 21–26, 2024 687 (RV) ± 4.0% 49% 45% 6%
687 (LV) 50% 44% 6%
RMG Research[43][D] September 18−20, 2024 757 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 43% 3%[l]
Morning Consult[30] September 9−18, 2024 1,488 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 43% 5%
Morning Consult[30] August 30 – September 8, 2024 1,558 (LV) ± 3.0% 52% 44% 4%
Emerson College[44] September 3–5, 2024 945 (LV) ± 3.1% 53% 43% 4%
54%[m] 45% 1%[i]
SoCal Strategies (R)[45][E] August 31 – September 1, 2024 600 (LV) – 52% 43% 5%
August 23, 2024 Robert F. Kennedy Jr. suspends his presidential campaign and endorses Donald Trump.
ActiVote[46] August 2–22, 2024 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 56% 44% –
August 19–22, 2024 Democratic National Convention
Rasmussen Reports (R)[47][F] August 13–17, 2024 1,267 (LV) – 51% 44% 5%
August 6, 2024 Kamala Harris selects Gov. Tim Walz as her running mate.
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[48][G] July 23–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 42% 6%
July 21, 2024 Joe Biden announces his withdrawal from the race; Kamala Harris declares her candidacy for president.
July 15–19, 2024 Republican National Convention
July 13, 2024 attempted assassination of Donald Trump
Ohio Northern University[49] March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 38% 11%

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
AtlasIntel[27] November 3–4, 2024 1,022 (LV) ± 3.0% 54% 45% – 1% 0% –
Focaldata[50] October 3 – November 1, 2024 2,161 (LV) – 53% 44% – 0% 1% 2%
1,867 (RV) ± 2.1% 52% 45% – 0% 2% 1%
2,161 (A) – 53% 42% – 0% 2% 3%
OnMessage Inc. (R)[51][H] October 19–22, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 52% 44% – 1% 1% 2%[f]
New York Times/Siena College[42] September 21–26, 2024 687 (RV) ± 4.0% 47% 44% – 2% 2% 5%
687 (LV) 49% 43% – 2% 2% 4%
Hypothetical polling with Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Donald Trump vs. Kamala Harris vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein vs. Chase Oliver

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Kamala
Harris
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Chase
Oliver
Libertarian 		Other /
Undecided
Miami University[52] October 28–30, 2024 859 (RV) ± 5.0% 49% 46% 0% – 0% 0% 5%
851 (LV) 50% 47% 0% – 0% 0% 3%
Rasmussen Reports (R)[47][F] August 13–17, 2024 1,267 (LV) – 50% 42% 4% 1% 0% – 3%
Fabrizio Ward (R)/Impact Research (D)[48][G] July 23–28, 2024 600 (LV) ± 4.0% 48% 39% 9% – 1% 1% 2%
Hypothetical polling with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Remington Research Group (R)[53] June 29 – July 1, 2024 611 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 41% 8%
National Public Affairs[54] May 28–29, 2024 801 (LV) ± 3.5% 54% 46% –
John Zogby Strategies[55][I] April 13–21, 2024 643 (LV) – 52% 42% 6%
Mainstreet Research/Florida Atlantic University[56] March 13–15, 2024 818 (RV) ± 3.4% 51% 40% 9%
Ohio Northern University[49] March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 50% 38% 12%
Emerson College[57][J] March 7–10, 2024 1,300 (RV) ± 2.6% 50% 41% 9%
55%[m] 45% –
Emerson College[58][J] January 23–25, 2024 1,844 (RV) ± 2.3% 47% 36% 17%[n]
Emerson College/WJW-TV[59] November 10–13, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 50% 38% 12%
Data for Progress (D)[60] October 31 – November 2, 2023 597 (LV) ± 4.0% 51% 43% 6%
Ohio Northern University[61] October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 45% 40% 15%[o]
Emerson College[62] October 2–4, 2023 438 (RV) ± 4.5% 45% 33% 23%
Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)[63] September 16–19, 2023 1,559 (RV) – 48% 43% 9%
Ohio Northern University[64] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 49% 39% 12%
Targoz Market Research[65] November 2–6, 2022 505 (LV) ± 4.3% 57% 40% 3%
Emerson College[66] October 30 – November 1, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 38% 12%
Ohio Northern University/Lucid[67] October 11–15, 2022 668 (LV) – 55% 35% 10%
Emerson College[68] October 6–7, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 40% 12%
Emerson College[69] September 12–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 50% 40% 10%
Echelon Insights[70] August 31 – September 7, 2022 831 (LV) ± 4.3% 49% 41% 10%
Emerson College[71] August 15–16, 2022 925 (LV) ± 3.2% 53% 39% 8%
PEM Management Corporation (R)[72][K] July 22–24, 2022 300 (LV) ± 5.7% 42% 44% 14%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Cornel West vs. Jill Stein

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Cornel
West
Independent 		Jill
Stein
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Marist College[73] June 3–6, 2024 1,137 (RV) ± 3.6% 48% 41% 5% 1% 1% 4%
National Public Affairs[54] May 28–29, 2024 801 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 40% 7% 2% 3% –
East Carolina University[74] March 8–11, 2024 1,298 (LV) ± 3.2% 48% 38% 5% 1% 1% 7%
Emerson College[57][J] March 7–10, 2024 1,300 (RV) ± 2.6% 47% 38% 6% 1% 1% 7%
Emerson College/WJW-TV[59] November 10–13, 2023 1,000 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 31% 8% 1% 2% 13%

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden. vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[49] March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 44% 32% 13% 11%
Ohio Northern University[61] October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 42% 35% 11% 12%[g]

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Cornel
West
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Change Research (D)/Future Majority (D)[63] September 16–19, 2023 1,559 (RV) – 45% 36% 9% 10%
42% 34% 6% 18%[p]
Suffolk University/USA Today[75] July 9–12, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 44% 38% 2% 16%
Hypothetical polling with other candidates

Donald Trump vs. Gavin Newsom

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Gavin
Newsom
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[49] March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 33% 16%

Donald Trump vs. Gretchen Whitmer

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Gretchen
Whitmer
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[49] March 6–11, 2024 1,241 (LV) ± 3.3% 51% 34% 15%

Donald Trump vs. Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Donald
Trump
Republican 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[55][I] April 13–21, 2024 643 (LV) – 47% 39% 14%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr. vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Robert F.
Kennedy Jr.
Independent 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
John Zogby Strategies[55][I] April 13–21, 2024 643 (LV) – 55% 34% 11%

Nikki Haley vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Nikki
Haley
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[61] October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 34% 36% 30%[q]
Ohio Northern University[64] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 38% 38% 24%

Ron DeSantis vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
DeSantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[61] October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% 41% 21%[o]
Ohio Northern University[64] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 41% 39% 20%
Emerson College[68] October 6–7, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 38% 13%
Emerson College[69] September 12–13, 2022 1,000 (LV) ± 3.0% 48% 38% 14%
Echelon Insights[70] August 31 – September 7, 2022 831 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 40% 14%

Ron Desantis vs. Joe Biden vs. Cornel West

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Ron
Desantis
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Cornel
West
Green 		Other /
Undecided
Suffolk University/USA Today[75] July 9–12, 2023 500 (RV) ± 4.4% 39% 37% 2% 22%

Chris Christie vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Chris
Christie
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[64] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 33% 39% 28%

Mike Pence vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Mike
Pence
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[61] October 16–19, 2023 668 (RV) ± 3.8% 38% 38% 24%[q]
Ohio Northern University[64] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 37% 38% 25%

Tim Scott vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Tim
Scott
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Ohio Northern University[64] July 17–26, 2023 675 (RV) ± 3.7% 38% 39% 23%

Generic Republican vs. Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered 		Sample
size[b] 		Margin
of error 		Generic
Republican 		Joe
Biden
Democratic 		Other /
Undecided
Causeway Solutions[76] May 19–27, 2023 1,639 (RV) ± 2.5% 45% 33% 22%

Results

2024 United States presidential election in Ohio[77]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican
3,180,116 55.14% +1.87%
Democratic
2,533,699 43.93% −1.31%
Libertarian
28,200 0.49% −0.65%
Independent
  • Richard Duncan
  • Mitch Bupp
 12,805 0.22% +0.22%
American Solidarity
10,197 0.18% +0.18%
Green
  • Jill Stein (votes not counted)
  • Anita Rios (votes not counted)
 N/A N/A −0.32%
Write-in 2,771 0.05% +0.02%
Total votes 5,767,788 100.00% N/A

By county

County Donald Trump
Republican 		Kamala Harris
Democratic 		Various candidates
Other parties 		Margin Total votes cast
# % # % # % # %
Adams 10,269 82.62% 2,098 16.88% 62 0.50% 8,171 65.74% 12,429
Allen 33,201 71.28% 12,754 27.38% 621 1.34% 20,447 43.90% 46,576
Ashland 19,863 74.31% 6,544 24.48% 323 1.21% 13,319 49.83% 26,730
Ashtabula 27,656 63.47% 15,345 35.22% 574 1.31% 12,311 28.25% 43,575
Athens 11,369 43.70% 14,134 54.33% 511 1.97% −2,765 −10.63% 26,014
Auglaize 20,988 81.57% 4,442 17.26% 300 1.17% 16,546 64.31% 25,730
Belmont 22,758 73.30% 8,080 26.02% 211 0.68% 14,678 47.28% 31,049
Brown 17,257 80.22% 4,069 18.92% 186 0.86% 13,188 61.30% 21,512
Butler 114,831 62.66% 66,713 36.41% 1,708 0.93% 48,118 26.25% 183,252
Carroll 10,634 76.76% 3,071 22.17% 148 1.07% 7,563 54.59% 13,853
Champaign 15,334 74.57% 4,944 24.04% 286 1.39% 10,390 50.53% 20,564
Clark 40,403 63.92% 21,847 34.56% 956 1.52% 18,556 29.36% 63,206
Clermont 76,964 67.11% 36,130 31.50% 1,589 1.39% 40,834 35.61% 114,683
Clinton 15,984 76.59% 4,633 22.20% 253 1.21% 11,351 54.39% 20,870
Columbiana 35,607 73.80% 12,064 25.01% 575 1.19% 23,543 48.79% 48,246
Coshocton 12,362 75.29% 3,835 23.36% 223 1.35% 8,527 51.93% 16,420
Crawford 15,402 75.74% 4,683 23.03% 251 1.23% 10,719 52.71% 20,336
Cuyahoga 195,164 33.74% 376,384 66.36% 6,820 1.18% −181,220 −32.62% 578,368
Darke 22,234 82.01% 4,583 16.90% 295 1.09% 17,651 65.11% 27,112
Defiance 13,302 69.07% 5,667 29.42% 291 1.51% 7,635 39.65% 19,260
Delaware 70,448 52.42% 61,657 45.88% 2,278 1.70% 8,791 6.54% 134,383
Erie 22,493 56.32% 16,871 42.24% 573 1.44% 5,622 14.08% 39,937
Fairfield 51,999 61.57% 31,695 37.53% 763 0.90% 20,304 24.04% 84,457
Fayette 9,706 76.95% 2,773 21.98% 135 1.07% 6,933 54.97% 12,614
Franklin 210,830 34.89% 380,518 62.98% 12,836 2.13% −169,688 −28.09% 604,184
Fulton 15,893 70.44% 6,374 28.25% 297 1.31% 9,519 42.19% 22,564
Gallia 10,314 79.13% 2,592 19.89% 128 0.98% 7,722 59.24% 13,034
Geauga 33,844 61.32% 20,604 37.33% 741 1.35% 13,240 23.99% 55,189
Greene 53,399 58.87% 35,575 39.22% 1,733 1.91% 17,824 19.65% 90,707
Guernsey 13,314 75.54% 4,154 23.57% 158 0.89% 9,160 51.97% 17,626
Hamilton 172,365 41.87% 233,360 56.69% 5,931 1.44% −60,995 −14.82% 411,656
Hancock 26,052 68.53% 11,467 30.16% 499 1.31% 14,585 38.37% 38,018
Hardin 9,911 76.78% 2,863 22.18% 134 1.04% 7,048 54.60% 12,908
Harrison 5,484 77.02% 1,559 21.90% 77 1.08% 3,925 55.12% 7,120
Henry 10,873 72.61% 3,905 26.08% 197 1.31% 6,968 46.53% 14,975
Highland 16,269 81.32% 3,609 18.04% 127 0.64% 12,660 63.28% 20,005
Hocking 9,679 71.63% 3,704 27.41% 129 0.96% 5,975 44.22% 13,512
Holmes 10,384 83.84% 1,854 14.97% 148 1.19% 8,530 68.87% 12,386
Huron 19,484 71.26% 7,496 27.41% 364 1.33% 11,988 43.85% 27,344
Jackson 11,249 78.49% 2,953 20.60% 130 0.91% 8,296 57.89% 14,332
Jefferson 22,317 71.03% 8,592 27.35% 508 1.62% 13,725 43.68% 31,417
Knox 23,112 71.61% 8,698 26.95% 467 1.44% 14,414 44.66% 32,277
Lake 72,924 56.46% 54,484 42.18% 1,751 1.36% 18,440 14.28% 129,159
Lawrence 20,013 74.58% 6,514 24.27% 309 1.15% 13,499 50.31% 26,836
Licking 61,359 64.20% 32,832 34.35% 1,390 1.45% 28,527 29.85% 95,581
Logan 18,182 77.33% 5,027 21.38% 303 1.29% 13,155 55.95% 23,512
Lorain 83,297 52.12% 74,207 46.44% 2,303 1.44% 9,090 5.68% 159,807
Lucas 82,398 42.81% 106,320 55.23% 3,771 1.96% −23,922 −12.42% 192,489
Madison 14,737 70.98% 5,713 27.52% 312 1.50% 9,024 43.46% 20,762
Mahoning 61,249 54.09% 50,636 44.72% 1,340 1.19% 10,613 9.37% 113,225
Marion 19,219 69.96% 7,902 28.77% 349 1.27% 11,317 41.19% 27,470
Medina 66,308 61.67% 39,771 36.99% 1,438 1.34% 26,537 24.68% 107,517
Meigs 8,127 77.98% 2,202 21.13% 93 0.89% 5,925 56.85% 10,422
Mercer 19,710 82.72% 3,865 16.22% 251 1.06% 15,845 66.50% 23,826
Miami 42,677 71.80% 15,969 26.87% 792 1.33% 26,708 44.93% 59,438
Monroe 5,396 79.18% 1,336 19.60% 83 1.22% 4,060 59.58% 6,815
Montgomery 125,566 48.95% 126,767 49.41% 4,211 1.64% −1,201 −0.46% 256,544
Morgan 5,168 75.97% 1,560 22.93% 75 1.10% 3,608 53.04% 6,803
Morrow 14,609 77.17% 4,100 21.66% 223 1.17% 10,509 55.51% 18,932
Muskingum 28,147 71.45% 10,874 27.60% 373 0.95% 17,273 43.85% 39,394
Noble 5,050 81.66% 1,069 17.29% 65 1.05% 3,981 64.37% 6,184
Ottawa 14,872 61.86% 8,866 36.88% 304 1.26% 6,006 24.98% 24,042
Paulding 7,203 77.22% 1,987 21.30% 138 1.48% 5,216 55.92% 9,328
Perry 13,062 76.81% 3,800 22.35% 143 0.84% 9,262 54.46% 17,005
Pickaway 21,607 73.46% 7,397 25.15% 409 1.39% 14,210 48.31% 29,413
Pike 9,352 76.39% 2,793 22.81% 97 0.27% 6,559 53.58% 12,242
Portage 47,681 57.02% 34,759 41.57% 1,179 1.41% 12,922 15.45% 83,619
Preble 17,146 78.77% 4,343 19.95% 277 1.28% 12,803 58.82% 21,766
Putnam 16,576 83.55% 2,996 15.10% 268 1.35% 13,580 68.45% 19,840
Richland 41,298 70.76% 16,591 28.43% 473 0.81% 24,707 42.33% 58,362
Ross 22,801 68.96% 9,846 29.78% 418 1.26% 12,955 39.18% 33,065
Sandusky 19,311 64.74% 10,139 33.99% 377 1.27% 9,172 30.75% 29,827
Scioto 22,978 73.59% 8,021 25.69% 226 0.72% 14,957 47.90% 31,225
Seneca 17,241 67.87% 7,765 30.57% 398 1.56% 9,476 37.30% 25,404
Shelby 20,740 81.78% 4,350 17.15% 272 1.07% 16,390 64.63% 25,362
Stark 111,478 60.52% 71,090 38.60% 1,625 0.88% 40,388 21.92% 184,193
Summit 125,910 45.88% 145,005 52.83% 3,539 1.29% −19,095 −6.95% 274,454
Trumbull 55,983 57.66% 39,758 40.95% 1,355 1.39% 16,225 16.71% 97,096
Tuscarawas 30,652 70.94% 12,032 27.84% 527 1.22% 18,620 43.10% 43,211
Union 23,982 63.84% 12,934 34.43% 651 1.73% 11,048 29.41% 37,567
Van Wert 11,616 78.45% 3,000 20.26% 190 1.29% 8,616 58.19% 14,806
Vinton 4,531 78.58% 1,169 20.27% 66 1.15% 3,362 58.31% 5,766
Warren 91,132 64.74% 47,128 33.48% 2,499 1.78% 44,004 31.26% 140,759
Washington 22,161 71.20% 8,600 27.63% 362 1.17% 13,561 43.57% 31,123
Wayne 36,764 69.17% 15,898 29.91% 488 0.92% 20,866 39.26% 53,150
Williams 13,461 73.50% 4,644 25.36% 209 1.14% 8,817 48.14% 18,314
Wood 36,877 54.56% 30,016 44.41% 693 1.03% 6,861 10.15% 67,586
Wyandot 8,564 74.83% 2,731 23.86% 150 1.31% 5,833 50.97% 11,445
Totals 3,180,116 54.88% 2,533,699 43.72% 81,301 1.40% 646,417 11.16% 5,795,116

By congressional district

Trump won 11 of 15 congressional districts, including one that elected a Democrat.[78]

District Trump Harris Representative
1st 46% 53% Greg Landsman
2nd 73% 26% Brad Wenstrup (118th Congress)
David Taylor (119th Congress)
3rd 29% 70% Joyce Beatty
4th 68% 31% Jim Jordan
5th 64% 35% Bob Latta
6th 66% 33% Michael Rulli
7th 55% 44% Max Miller
8th 61% 38% Warren Davidson
9th 53% 46% Marcy Kaptur
10th 52% 47% Mike Turner
11th 22% 77% Shontel Brown
12th 66% 33% Troy Balderson
13th 49.5% 49.6% Emilia Sykes
14th 59% 41% David Joyce
15th 54% 45% Mike Carey

Analysis

A heavily populated Midwestern state located mainly in the Rust Belt, with the southern portion of the state having cultural influence from the Upper South and Bible Belt, Ohio had been considered a vital bellwether state for decades and had been decided by single digits at the presidential level since 1992, but has been trending towards the political right in recent years and is now considered a moderately red state. The state voted significantly more Republican than the U.S. at large when Donald Trump carried the state by just over eight points in the past two elections, despite polls showing a tight race in both cycles, especially in 2020, in which the state backed the losing presidential candidate for the first time in 60 years. This is the first time since 1988 that the state voted Republican in three consecutive presidential elections and the first time since 2012 that it voted for the winner of the national popular vote. The GOP's success in Ohio during the 2022 midterms has further testified to the state's rightward shift and the end of its swing-state status at the presidential level. Ohio was widely expected to be carried again by Trump in the November general election.[79] JD Vance's selection was seen as a strategic effort to bolster support in the Midwest (especially his home state) and among Trump supporters. Independent candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. gathered enough signatures to appear on the ballot.[80] The election was held concurrently with a U.S. Senate race in Ohio, in which Republican nominee Bernie Moreno unseated Democratic incumbent Sherrod Brown, flipping the state's last remaining Democratic statewide seat into the GOP camp; this was partly credited to Trump's overall success in the state. Additionally, an attempt to establish a redistricting commission (with the goal of ending gerrymandering) was proposed on the state's ballot but was defeated after being denounced by Trump.[81][82] This was also, in part, credited towards Trump's popularity in the state amongst other factors.[83]

See also

Notes

  1. ^ Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. ^ a b "Other" with 2%
  4. ^ "Someone else" with 2%
  5. ^ With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  6. ^ a b "Other" with 1%
  7. ^ a b "Some other candidate" with 2%
  8. ^ "Someone else" & "Would not vote" with 1% each
  9. ^ a b "Someone else" with 1%
  10. ^ a b "Another party's candidates" with 1%
  11. ^ "Some other candidate" with 1%
  12. ^ "Some other candidate" with 2%; "Would not vote" with 1%
  13. ^ a b With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  14. ^ "Someone else" with 9%
  15. ^ a b "Some other candidate" with 5%
  16. ^ Joe Manchin with 6%
  17. ^ a b "Some other candidate" with 8%

Partisan clients

  1. ^ Poll sponsored by The Hill
  2. ^ Poll sponsored by Ohio Press Network
  3. ^ Poll sponsored by American Thinker
  4. ^ Poll sponsored by the Napolitan Institute
  5. ^ Poll sponsored by On Point Politics & Red Eagle Politics
  6. ^ a b Poll sponsored by NumbersUSA
  7. ^ a b Poll commissioned by AARP
  8. ^ Poll sponsored by the Senate Opportunity Fund
  9. ^ a b c Poll conducted for Kennedy's campaign
  10. ^ a b c Poll sponsored by Nexstar Media Group
  11. ^ Poll conducted for the John Bolton Super PAC

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