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2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election

2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election
← 2006 November 2, 2010 2014 →
 
Nominee Lincoln Chafee John Robitaille
Party Independent Republican
Popular vote 123,571 114,911
Percentage 36.1% 33.6%
 
Nominee Frank Caprio Ken Block
Party Democratic Moderate
Popular vote 78,896 22,146
Percentage 23.1% 6.5%
Chafee:      30–40%      40–50%      50–60%
Robitaille:      30–40%      40–50%
Caprio:      30–40%
Governor before election

Donald Carcieri
Republican

Elected Governor

Lincoln Chafee
Independent

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The 2010 Rhode Island gubernatorial election was held on November 2, 2010. It was preceded by the primary election on September 14, 2010. Incumbent Republican governor Donald Carcieri was term-limited in 2010. The non-partisan Cook Political Report, The New York Times and CQ Politics rated the gubernatorial election as a toss-up.[1][2][3]

With 90 percent of the districts reporting on election night, Independent Lincoln Chafee was declared the winner, with 36.1% of the vote.[4] As of 2023, this was the last time Newport County voted for the Republican candidate in a statewide election. Chafee had served Rhode Island in the U.S. Senate as a Republican from 1999 to 2007; he later joined the Democratic Party in 2013.[5]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Polling (D)

Poll source Dates administered Frank Caprio Patrick C. Lynch David Cicilline Elizabeth H. Roberts
Quest Research[7] February 24–25, 2009 30% 17.4% 13% 12.4%

Results

Democratic Party primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Frank Caprio 73,142 100.00
Total votes 73,142 100.00

Republican primary

Candidates

Polling (R)

Poll source Dates administered Steve Laffey Joseph Trillo
Quest Research[7] February 24–25, 2009 29.3% 6.9%

Results

Republican primary results[8]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican John Robitaille 13,204 70.17
Republican Victor Moffitt 5,613 29.83
Total votes 18,817 100.00

General election

Candidates

Major

Minor

Campaign

The campaign drew nationwide attention in late October when President Barack Obama, faced with a choice between Democrat Caprio and independent Chafee (who, although he had been a Republican as a senator, had endorsed the Democratic Obama for president in 2008) chose not to make any endorsement in the race. Caprio responded to the lack of an endorsement by his fellow Democrat by stating that the President "can take his endorsement and really shove it as far as I'm concerned."[11]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report[12] Tossup October 14, 2010
Rothenberg[13] Lean I (flip) October 28, 2010
RealClearPolitics[14] Tossup November 1, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball[15] Lean I (flip) October 28, 2010
CQ Politics[16] Tossup October 28, 2010

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Lincoln Chafee (I) Frank Caprio (D) John Robitaille (R) Ken Block (M)
WJAR Channel 10[17] October 23–26, 2010 35% 25% 28% 2%
Rasmussen Reports[18] October 21, 2010 35% 28% 25% —
WJAR Channel 10[19] October 4–6, 2010 33% 37% 22% 2%
Rasmussen Reports[18] October 6, 2010 33% 30% 22% 4%
Brown University[20] September 27–29, 2010 23% 30% 14% 2%
WPRI-TV[21] September 22–26, 2010 30% 33% 19% 4%
Rasmussen Reports[22] September 16, 2010 33% 30% 23% 5%
Quest Research[23] September 15–17, 2010 24% 36% 13% 2%
Rasmussen Reports[24] August 17, 2010 32% 38% 20% —
Brown University[25] July 27–30, 2010 26% 28% 7% 3%
Rasmussen Reports[26] July 21, 2010 37% 30% 23% —
Rasmussen Reports[27] June 1, 2010 35% 32% 25%
Rasmussen Reports[28] April 21, 2010 33% 34% 21%
Rasmussen Reports[29] February 25, 2010 37% 27% 19%
Brown University[30] February 9–12, 2010 34% 28% 12%

Results

Rhode Island gubernatorial election, 2010[31]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Independent Lincoln Chafee 123,571 36.10% +36.10%
Republican John Robitaille 114,911 33.57% −17.44%
Democratic Frank Caprio 78,896 23.05% −25.94%
Moderate Ken Block 22,146 6.47%
Independent Joeseph Lusi 1,091 0.32%
Independent Todd Giroux 882 0.26%
Independent Ronald Algieri 793 0.23%
Plurality 8,660 2.53% +0.51%
Turnout 342,290
Independent gain from Republican Swing

By county

Lincoln Chafee
Independent 		John Robitaille
Republican 		Frank Caprio
Democratic 		Kenneth Block
Moderate 		Others Total
County Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes % Votes %
Bristol 7,323 37.04% 6,796 34.37% 3,950 19.98% 1,547 7.82% 155 0.78% 19,771
Kent 22,563 35.62% 23,303 36.79% 12,199 19.26% 4,745 7.49% 533 0.85% 63,343
Newport 11,313 37.55% 11,885 39.45% 5,165 17.15% 1,497 4.97% 264 0.88% 30,124
Providence 62,608 34.90% 55,258 30.80% 49,266 27.46% 10,837 6.04% 1,417 0.79% 179,386
Washington 19,734 39.80% 17,637 35.57% 8,192 16.73% 3,518 7.10% 396 0.80% 49,577

Counties that flipped from Republican to Independent

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Independent

See also

References

  1. ^ "The Cook Political Report | The insider's choice for election analysis". Cookpolitical.com. August 17, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  2. ^ "CQ Politics | Governors 2010 map". Innovation.cq.com. Archived from the original on June 11, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  3. ^ "Governor Races - Election 2010 - The New York Times". Elections.nytimes.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  4. ^ "Lincoln Chafee elected RI's next governor - WPRI.com". wpri.com. November 2, 2010. Archived from the original on November 6, 2010. Retrieved November 3, 2010.
  5. ^ "Facing difficult re-election, Chafee officially becomes a Democrat". NBC News. May 29, 2013. Archived from the original on March 9, 2024. Retrieved March 9, 2024.
  6. ^ Steve PeoplesJournal State House Bureau (November 10, 2009). "R.I. General Treasurer Frank T. Caprio announces run for governor | Politics | projo.com | The Providence Journal". projo.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  7. ^ a b Quest Research
  8. ^ a b "RI.gov: Election Results". Archived from the original on April 30, 2014. Retrieved March 7, 2014.
  9. ^ "Moderate Party of Rhode Island – Common Ground. Common Sense". Moderate-ri.org. Archived from the original on March 8, 2010. Retrieved August 21, 2010.
  10. ^ "The Latest News". Riloveslusiforgov.com. Retrieved August 21, 2010.[permanent dead link]
  11. ^ Condon, Stephanie (October 25, 2010). "Frank Caprio: Obama Can Take His Endorsement and "Shove It"". CBS News.
  12. ^ "2010 Governors Race Ratings". Cook Political Report. Archived from the original on October 28, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  13. ^ "Governor Ratings". Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  14. ^ "2010 Governor Races". RealClearPolitics. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  15. ^ "THE CRYSTAL BALL'S FINAL CALLS". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  16. ^ "Race Ratings Chart: Governor". CQ Politics. Archived from the original on October 5, 2010. Retrieved October 28, 2010.
  17. ^ WJAR Channel 10
  18. ^ a b Rasmussen Reports
  19. ^ WJAR Channel 10
  20. ^ Brown University
  21. ^ WPRI-TV
  22. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  23. ^ Quest Research
  24. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  25. ^ Brown University
  26. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  27. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  28. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  29. ^ Rasmussen Reports
  30. ^ Brown University
  31. ^ "RI.gov: Election Results". Archived from the original on November 18, 2010. Retrieved November 25, 2010.

Debate

Official campaign sites (Archived)

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